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<br />The text of this report, will present most of the descriptive data at <br />the Census Region level (Input) and the Water Region Level (Output), when dis- <br />. cussing the procedures used in the remapping. The actual data passed to the <br />siting analysis staff was (eventually) decided to be that at the sub-region <br />level of detail.2 This provides the siting-analysis with the potential for <br /> <br />o <br />-.J <br />W <br />CJ1 <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />very detailed spatial resolution. However, to present, such detailed regional <br /> <br />data in this report would be burdensome and confusing. <br /> <br />[:;:;: -Get., ofts -~l CD><-' I'd \" ~f 7 <br /> <br />*' 5. Asswnptions used would be the same as those shown in the Brookhaven <br />discussion of the Forecast 2 Scenario for the year 2000. The FEA 1985 <br />forecast is based on numerous assumptions concerning supply and demand. <br />A summary of their findings follows. <br /> <br />. Tof1e events of 1975 have changed the energy outlook: <br /> <br />-Energy legislation has been enacted which largely removes <br />the oil depletion allowance. sets a new oil pricing policy. estab- <br />lishes conservation measures and provides standby authorities <br />in the event of another embargo. <br /> <br />-New Federal estimates of oil and gas resources are sub- <br />stantially lower than previous fi9ures. <br /> <br />-Further increases in the price of imported oil have occurred <br />and tHe possibiiity of a rapid drop in price now seems remote, <br /> <br />-Higfer energy prices ha.ye spurred the search for oil and <br />gas and dramatically cut the rate of growth in .energy demand. <br /> <br />. This year's FEA analysis shows that even with these changes <br />energy independence can still be achieved: <br /> <br />-Over the next 10 years. the Nation can greatly expand its <br />domestic energy production and cut the rate of growth in <br />energy demand. and still meet its economic objectives. <br /> <br />-Our dependence in the next few years would have increased. <br />but the recently enacted legislation will hold our vulnerability to <br />about current levels. <br /> <br />-- The post-1985 prospects for maintaining independence are <br />less certain. uniess technological and economic breakthroughs <br />occur. <br /> <br />. If we do not establish policies to stimulate domestic energy <br />production and cut energy use. or if regional9rowth restrictions. <br />less reserves than expected. or extended price controls occur. <br />our dependence on foreign oil could rise dramatically above <br />to.day's leveis. <br />-The uncertainties and ener9Y impacts associated with each <br />of these factors are large and make accurate forecasting <br />difficult. <br />-But unless the Nation weighs the impact of alternative policy <br />assumptions. it cannot choose a national energy policy which <br />bala"ces economic. energy. environmental. and social <br />objectives, <br /> <br />-14- <br />