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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />REGIONAL ECONOMY WITHOUT PROJECT <br /> <br />Scenario No.2 - SJWC Purchases Existing Irrigation Water Rights to 30,800 Acre-Feet <br /> <br />Under this scenario, the 30,800 acre-feet of ALP water would revert to the public trust, <br />subject to all New Mexico appropriators. It is assumed that the rivers in San Juan County <br />are sufficiently fully appropriated, resulting in the entire 30,800 acre-feet being utilized by <br />other USBR permits and junior appropriators. Furthermore, it is assumed that in order for <br />SJWC to develop 30,800 acre-feet, SJWC would have to purchase water rights on the Animas <br />River that are presently being used for irrigation within San Juan County and transfer these <br />rights to M&I use. <br /> <br />As discussed above, the Animas River streamflows are sufficient during most years to <br /> <br /> <br />provide the 30,800 acre-feet of ALP water on a direct flow basis. Likewise, under this <br /> <br /> <br />scenario, it is assumed that SJWC could purchase irrigation rights that during most years <br /> <br /> <br />are sufficient to provide the 30,800 acre-feet on a direct flow basis. However, due to the <br /> <br /> <br />Animas River decreased streamflow during dry years, a storage reservoir would be required <br /> <br /> <br />in order to provide the full 30,800 acre-feet each year on a firm M&I basis. For the purposes <br /> <br /> <br />of this scenario, it is assumed that the reservoir and supply canal for Scenario No. 1 would <br /> <br /> <br />be sufficient for storage of purchased irrigation water rights. <br /> <br />In addition to the above facilities costs, SJWC would have to purchase the required water <br />rights. Privately held irrigated acreage for 1994 in San Juan County was projected by <br />Black & Veatch (1981a) to be approximately 34,000 acres. Kirkpatrick reported that recent <br />New Mexico State Engineer estimates for the currently privately held irrigated acreage range <br />from 41,000 to 44,000 acres. Black & Veatch (1981a) reports the average diversions for <br />privately held irrigated acreage are three acre-feet per acre with a 50 percent depletion <br />factor. It is assumed that M&I use would also have a 50 percent depletion factor; therefore, <br />approximately 10,000 acres of presently irrigated lands would have to be fallowed to <br />develop 30,800 acre-feet of water for M&I purposes. This would result in a reduction of 23 <br />to 29 percent of privately held irrigated acreage in San Juan County, which would have <br />significant direct and indirect economic impacts on the region. <br /> <br />The cost for irrigation water rights is variable and depends upon several factors including <br />amount of water purchased, seniority of the water right, and market conditions. Recent <br /> <br />3-19 <br />