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<br />. The-graph shows <br />what release patterns <br />at the dam would look <br />like during a typical <br />sUQmer week if lake <br />Powell were at a low <br />reservoi r elevation. a <br />condition not likely <br />to occur until the <br />next century. The <br />solid line is an <br />actual historic <br />pattern and is <br />representative of <br />current conditions <br />while the dotted line <br />is representati ve of <br />flows that \1Ould occur <br />with the 250-MW <br />addition. The caps on <br />the solid line signify <br />the extra power <br />derived froo rewinding; <br />the existing <br />generators. a projectl <br />nOli unde"",ay. Thi s: <br />extra pO\1er is shown, <br />bei ng used on Monday <br />and Tuesday and is <br />refl ected in the <br />24-hour hydrographs <br />below. <br />The 40.000 cfs <br />releases shown here <br />would occur mainly in <br />the sumner and only <br />under low reservoir <br />conditions. Historic <br />minimum releases of <br />3.000 cfs would be <br />mai ntai ned a 1 though <br />their <br /> <br />Preliminary <br /> <br />Flows <br />at Low <br /> <br />Reservoir <br /> <br /> TYPICAL GLEN CANYON RELEASE <br /> SUMMER SEASON AT LOW RESERVOIR ELEVATIONS <br /> .... , 1M I ' <br /> . , I ~ I" I <br /> ~ !;.p, iI' ~ "oo <br /> ,I ~ <br /> """ r~"i' It\! - <br />.,; !Bl' .l I ''''' <br />..: ir: I r~! l1 <br />u .... . '. "" <br /> WII ;, fgjl ':;1 [),: I' <br />" 01 !01 ~;: ~ OM <br /> ",> r~ <br />i;l""" :i I r1' ~/, I !~!I r;~ <br />~ ~ i ' "" ~ <br />w M\: r~ ~ <br />~ : I ; 1 ; ~ <br />w " , ;-',.< "" ~ <br />~- M ~ <br />r ' !;. i ~, ~i I, ~ <br /> ~ <br />~ I , ' "" ~ <br />0 " :11 r <br />z '5OOl <br />0 , , !" ~ I ~ 1 ~ ". <br />~ I <br />z 1,1 i <br />~ i <br />u "''''' , , , "" <br />z ~I v;.t; , ,! Wi i ' 1'/ <br />w IN, <ff- <br />~ i ", "" <br />~ 500l ij':-j (/! I I' 1 <br /> I'f ,,' ! I I I 'oo <br /> I I <br /> , , , <br /> ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ ~ nnnn <br /> SUNDAY I'\OmJRY TUESDA't loI[D~~509't Tl1iJR5CA't f~!ORr 597URQF'l'( <br /> <br />TIP I C~" RELEASlB.NO fLO~ PATTERNS <br />APRIL R'm AUGUST LO:l RES ELE"./ <br />GleN CA,VlOV O~M RelEASeS <br /> <br />., <br /> <br />II.,' SPRING '---I..-i Fig. 1 <br />"I g. sut'.I1CR I I 'I,'z I I I <br /> <br />~, .i. 5l'~~" 250 ~l'~+,+-n <br />.. I , , ~;,a 2~~\.-i=cpJ <br />.. ' I ,I I =H1WJ I/.~(/III t; I <I <br />, J' 'J i! I I ';[0/.'%/ <<9;:r,-c;-r'l <br />g . I I '~~~i!-I;: + ~~ 'iCI?r/l~, , <br />": lTTl-j 1- :TT1-i-~ :r.~I-l- rrr-!'""i '-.r~-i' <br />- "'r-rt ri. I -rr:~l-\1 /i'~H <br />, I. ,~" rm---.... -\\.~' " <br />~ 11..1 :-H !;: i tiJj) : I 1j:;vl ;,:\-j <br />",P.' . Ii' i i'j'l! I . " '--,-~~~ <br />~~~,; J <br />"~J~f~~ f'< III . i r L;"'!_. 1-0 :. \, <br />",>,--'.Ji"',...":!,,, . . '" <br />" L t' It' 1 f, <br />! I r-:lTl',. r <br />LI ' -, - , <br />I~-~ t'it\ t2-~ E~ 11-1fI <br />lC.JCWll <br /> <br />Figure 1 is the release patt~rn at Glen <br />Canyon Dam on the same Wednesday depicted <br />above. The "SUtlMER 250" release peaks at <br />3PI4 and is 17.000 cfs higher than that <br />....hich occurs with present sumer <br />conditions. The large difference is due <br />in part to the absence of the generator <br />rewind flows in Wednesday's release. Note <br />that the difference between the tHO;S <br />[about 7.000 cfs on Honday and Tuesday's <br />releases on the graph above. <br /> <br />TYP'CRL RELEASE AND rcO~ PA)T[ANS <br />IJ[ 5 r[R~r lOCATEO 15 M! L[S 8[:_Ow Gl.6J"CANYON DAM <br />QPr>10xl~Al[ fl.O;';~E fRQ~ G.JN ~ili:Umj OA~ . 2 t)Ot~ <br /> <br />., <br /> <br />10- SP11'~G Fig, 2 i <br />JiG/i:.;_ 5:J~:;~CR I t I I ~ <br />,,;",' SU','c'i 2S0 ",' '-tl~/;fltP <br />:-'--- I I ';1I!%k;' ~,-, <br />"j-'--;""'-,--[- -1-,' ./',11;7%7 -,I <br />I I I ' i I/"/~VI;:,/J I <br />1 I' I ;;z W<<%%I!I~' " <br />}0.1;-" , hNr/I~j>/: 11//.1// ..-- <br />, , i, I I YI/fl",lfl. ,f,rl! I/I~' <br />rTl I I I e.f.'"r-I ..~.,~Y I I <br />~.T\! ' , I I I-Ti <br />!: ~/i1;, I I I, ,/.,; i-T....-r:-;TI~ <br />~ :uFt,~~, I I ' I I ~,I L,i Jtj;J-I-~r-;-nl <br />1\';;1,'00,' I" I 'l?71 I , . .Arl;:-' <br />'Jlr\~;~,i'l'0:b~hL' .:t.ifi'i -;-1 I : . ' ' fitlli <br />G~: \:;:::(: V~~;;.~/;?dt(";r~);f I' r-r--' ' jr--J-rI' <br />u'~';':"""","'iI,,,,,.r,,~j,;r,.~j -' i <br />, , .. \.,I./I///liUV!f/l/.)t ". " , .' I I <br />j-'-N~'I",/J~~!-/ij~\ <-' , I <br /> <br />:: r:-l-r1i~~~i-:: ' i H rH-41 <br />I"""" 6-fr. !t '(0\ ~.Pr, Il-ffl <br />.cxS()<1 <br /> <br />The jagged appea rence of the <br />hydrograph in Figure 1 has <br />smoothed considerably by the <br />time the flows have arrived at <br />Lee's Ferry two hours later. <br />TIle "SUr-U~ER 250" peak flows <br />have diminished to about 34.000 <br />cfs. Future "SUt1MER 250" low <br />neVis. <trriving in the morning. <br />are about 5,000 cfs 10h'er than <br />present "SlJolMER- low flows. <br /> <br />durations would at <br />times be a few hours <br />longer than at <br />present. <br />Wednesday's <br />release pattern on <br />thi s graph is <br />displayed again in <br />fi gure 1 below, <br />Figures 2-5 show flow <br />patterns at points <br />downs tream du ri ng the <br />saoe 24-hour period as <br />in Figure 1 and <br />reflect the continual <br />da~pening of the <br />release pattern as it <br />travels through the <br />Grand Canyon. <br />The figures below <br />are hydrographs of the <br />same 10cRtions <br />presented in <br />Newsletter #5. Summer <br />flows at present <br />(labeled "SUI~lER") and <br />in the future with the <br />250-MW addition <br />(labeled "SUi'lMER 250") <br />are shOlJn. as in the <br />\.!eekly h,ydrograph. <br />Only a single spring <br />fl ow is di spl ayed <br />because future spri ng <br />flows at low reservoir <br />elevations with the <br />250-MW addition would <br />be similar to present <br />conditions. <br /> <br />,The 1 i kel i hood of a 1011 <br />reservoir is shown on this <br />chart ~Ihi ch depi cts the <br />probab 1 e occu rence of futu re <br />Lake POHell reservoi r <br />elevations. It was derived by <br />standard techni ques for <br />predicti ng the probabl e <br />occurence of hYdrologi c events <br />using historic data. As <br />explained in the last <br />newslettel', l'Ie define a low <br />reservoir as one below 3,580 <br />feet(shaded area) since below <br />that elevation a maximum <br />release would have to occur for <br />full power production. Lake <br />Powell has a maximum elevation <br />of 3,700 feet and a minimum <br />elevation of 3,374 feet. It is <br />nOli at an elevation of about <br />3,680 feet. <br />Lines A through D separate the graph into four secti ons acco; di ng to the probabl e <br />occurence of a given reservoir elevation. In any year, 25% of probable elevations are <br />above Line A, 50% above Line B, 75% above Line C and alr.lOst 100% above Line D., <br />Looking at Line D, it is evident that an elevation below 3,580 feet is unlikely <br />until about the year 2023(al"ro\'il. A considerably higher elevation is more likely in that <br />and future years. <br /> <br />37'0 <br /> <br />Probable lake Powel Elevations <br /> <br />. <br />. <br />> <br />~370 <br />< <br />~ <br /> <br />0, <br />~- <br /> <br />~r , <br />I I I I.. <br />:: ~: <br /> <br />-...:.....:....:. <br /> <br />z <br />< <br />. <br />::1:3650 <br />. <br />> <br />g <br />< <br />~36C'\ <br />= <br /> <br />3550 <br />.~~H~ :::::: "',,' ::::: <br /> <br />z <br />o <br />~ <br />~ 355 <br />~ <br /> <br />.. I ' <br />I.. 'j" <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />'I:' <br /> <br />.. I" <br />, , <br /> <br />, <br /> <br />.' <br /> <br />'I' <br />, , <br />'. . I <br />......: <br /> <br />c <br /> <br />:, <br /> <br />-=--.. '. <br />""'''''''''''...~''''~:''''''.< <br />,''-'-,~'',',,'',''',--,.' ~" <br />"," ~,~,~, ,"" "','" ., <br />~~~~~.~~~~~~', ,: ~~~" <br /> <br />."", ,,"~ <br />~~~~i ~~~~~ <br />'~.~'~ ~::~~~ <br /> <br />',',',',', ~~~~~~ ~,:,'~.~,~,~ ~~~~~ ~~~~~~ ~~~~~ ~~~~~~ ~~~~~~ ~~~~~: ~~~~~ D <br />",', ,,"" "',' """ ,~'" ",,,-, "~" <br />~~~~~~ ;~~~~; ~~~~> ~~~~~ ,"" ~~~~~~ :::::: ~~~~~' ~~~~~ ~~~~ <br />"'" ,,'," """ ;~~~~ ~~~~~~ '~~~~~ "",, ~~~~~~ "'''',~~~~~ '"'' <br /> <br />3500 <br /> <br />. <br />. <br />. <br /> <br />. <br />. <br /> <br />. <br />. <br /> <br />ITPICAL RELEASE AND fLD~.JBITERNS <br />~ANCE RArD lOCIlTW 77 MilES eCtOU[LS fERRI <br />APPRDiIM,lTE rlO~ TIME fROM, GLEN CAIiION OA!~ . 11-19 "OVRS <br />------ - ! <br />(l,oT? <br />1.0- SP,11'.G [6H--LL <br />"D:!~-5U~t1m H-L' <br />I,'. Su,~,~,Ji 2S0 'I I-LI <br />"I UIrT'in-1 . <br />u[l-D=cr=c;~ :- <br />1-1++:' ~~'~!AI <br />".'@].I.-'''liN&<;';:;;< <br />-: Jifi%E+' W <br />,", --fif017:l' 'I <br />; ,..r:r~ljr1~" , <br />i IJ1&2i,{ IT <br />,,,:r~1".~(:$,f,', ! IT <br />.. ~fu@,'T"- <br />. !.1 I I <br /> <br />lIP ICA.LB.ElEA.5E END rlO~ PATTERNS <br />BEDRDCi R1P 1 0 LCCATED 1 JO MilES 9ELOR LEE S fERRY 'I <br />RPP,lOi WoRTE r,o~ TIrE rRDM GLEN CRNYON OrlM ' 2S- 29 "GURS <br /> <br />Fig, :3 <br /> <br /> <br />.. <br /> <br />I I I <br />-r ~r- <br />H...L:.+ <br />I. ! , <br />=r=, <br /> <br /> <br />,,' <br /> <br />I; I <br />->1 <br /> <br /> <br />, <br />L i I <br />I I-r:-T <br />--r-:-;- <br /> <br />12-....1; <br /> <br />I <br />l <br /> <br />--'-' <br />'H <br /> <br />u <br />~2.~ <br /> <br />12-,...1 <br /> <br />,,~ <br /> <br />i2'~ <br />"""'" <br /> <br />'''' <br /> <br />$''''' <br /> <br />12'r<<Jo <br /><1><""' <br /> <br />,,'" <br /> <br />The peak flows appeari n9 in the <br />morning at Hance Rapid are <br />Tuesday's peak. releases from <br />the dam. The 40,000 cfs "Sur'1MER <br />250" release has diminished to <br />28,000 cfs and is about 4,000 <br />cfs greater than present <br />"SLMMER" flows. <br /> <br />The peak. f1 ows here are agai n <br />Tuesday's release from the dam. <br />They have dimi ni shed further by <br />the time they reach Bedrock <br />Rapid. At this point the <br />general flow pattern (maximum <br />and minimul':'l flows and the <br />di stance bebleen consecuti ve <br />peaks and troughs) is well <br />established. <br /> <br />o <br />~ <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />'fUll <br /> <br />. <br />~ <br /> <br />. <br />, <br />~ <br /> <br />. <br />" <br />~ <br /> <br />o <br />~ <br /> <br />" <br />o <br /> <br />TYP[CAL RmliSE AND flO~ PATTERNS <br />lAVA fALLS RAPID LOCA,[D 179 MILES BeLO~ lE['5 rERRY <br />IiPf'R'1i1'li1fE fLQR me rRO~1 GLEN CANYGN OA,~ . ]]']9 HOURS <br /> <br />..0 <br /> <br />Fig. 5 <br /> <br />1m-SPRiNG <br />:Ui'~l. SUm~lR <br />I ,- Su,,~[ii 2SD . <br />1/,', I ' , ~ <br />H-~'~! ,,' <br />JI.I . ~ '. , I <br />1 01~'::t;~. _: I <br />".f!?ri1J~ <br />I; I! ,-, i <br />iI.o4,' ~ <br />" n--t- <br />;....~II.I!i..f-' <br />o I ,. in <br />.J I ---i----'-- <br />"-ll.I-+-'! ~ <br />1 l-t-I ! <br />II I I j <br />I' <br /> <br />N, <br /> <br />; ,J <br /> <br /> <br />,. <br /> <br />" <br />12fJl <br /> <br />,,~ <br /> <br />lHool <br />"""", <br /> <br />'''' <br /> <br />"... <br /> <br />The peak flo\>/s arriving early <br />in the morning at lava Falls <br />Rapid are Monday's release from <br />the dam. Low flows occur in the <br />afternoon. The .SUMMER 250. low <br />flows are almost 4,000 cfs <br />lower than present "SUMMER" low <br />flows and arrive later. <br />