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<br />..I'- ,,~ <br /> <br />) <br /> <br />80P Surplus: 80% Avoidance of Drawdown of Mead Below <br />the Shortage Trigger <br /> <br />Is Mead elevation above the ~ elevation at the beginning of.the <br />year? - Ho.-u M'"-t,~ aboJ'Q...sl1.er~ +V\.~~ CM.~ <br />· ~~e.. Q <br />. e <br /> <br />. <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />re a full surplus for the year <br /> <br />· how is the Mead trigger elevation determined? <br />· run 900 stochastic hydrologic traces <br />· determine the beginning elevation for which 20% of all traces <br />have Mead elevation dropping below the shortage trigger (i.e., <br />that is protecting elevation of 1050 feet) anytime through the <br />year 2060 -:Sty i'V)-ta~ e <br />(j ( go ~ of o.Q.Q -\- fcvt:J2S ~ Q bo v e. LQ 5-0 <br /> <br />US Bureau of Reclamation <br /> <br />June 3, 1997 <br />