Laserfiche WebLink
<br />income. This is not surpnsmg since the more highly <br />skilled industrial jobs and the better paying professional <br />services are located in the larger cities but are rarely <br />found in the rural areas. <br /> <br />PROJECTIONS OF THE FUTURE ECONOMY <br /> <br />Based principally on historic trends, projections of <br />the economy to the year 2020 have been made for <br />planning purposes. Tables 7 and 8 summarize projected <br />economic parameters, such as population, employment, <br />income, and earnings. <br /> <br />Table 7 - PROJECTIONS OF POPULATION AND <br />EMPLOYMENT MISSOURI BASIN: <br />1980,2000, AND 2020 <br /> <br />Population and <br />Employment Group 1980 2000 2020 <br /> (Thousand) <br />Population 10,433 14,345 20,060 <br />Employment 4,074 5.591 7,826 <br />Agriculture 336 272 249 <br />Manufacturing 652 879 1,202 <br />Other Commodity 306 416 578 <br />Noncommodity 2,779 4,024 5,797 <br />Employment in Percent <br />of Population 39.1 39.0 39.0 <br /> <br />It appears that agriculture will continue to dominate <br />the basin's economy well into the future. Manufacturing <br />and any growth in heavy industry the basin experiences <br />will continue to be concentrated in the metropolitan <br />areas. Minerals and timber will be important economic <br />bases only in a few localities where these resources <br />occur. There is not too much likelihood that the basin <br /> <br />will gain significant employment fioin the refining of <br />petroleum or metals outside of the large urban areas. <br />With the expected continuation of out-migration from <br />the rural areas, the small towns will continue to lose <br /> <br />36 <br /> <br />Table 8 - PROJECTED PER CAPITA PERSONAL <br />INCOME EXPRESSED AS A PERCENT <br />OF THE NATION <br /> <br />Subbasin and SMSA 1980 i 2000 2020 <br /> (Nation = 100) <br />National .Per Capita <br />Personal Income <br />(1954 Dollars) $3,200 $5,000 $7,750 <br />Upper Missouri 97.7 97.5 100.2 <br />Great Falls (97.6 ) (97.0) (100.7) <br />Yellowstone 97.7 97.4 97.2 <br />Billings (103.8) (102.6 ) (99.6 ) <br />Western Dakota 87.5 90.7 100.4 <br />Eastern Dakota 84.3 86.3 91.0 <br />Sioux Falls (97.8) (98.6) (100.3) <br />Platte-N iobrara 103.4 100.0 98.8 <br />Denver (110.2) (102.6) (99.4 ) <br />Lincoln (100.3 ) (99.7) (100.0) <br />Middle Missouri 98.6 97.9 98.4 <br />Omaha (110.9) (103.6) (102.0) <br />Sioux City (103.0) (101.0) (99.8) <br />St. Joseph (103.1 ) (IOU) (97.9) <br />Kansas 95.8 96.0 95.5 <br />Topeka (108.6) (102.4) (99.6) <br />Lower Missouri 95.1 96.1 96.8 <br />Kansas City 007.9) (105.0) (102.7) <br />Springfield (96.2) (96.7) (98.2) <br /> <br />their service functions to larger neighbors unless they are <br />able to diversify into such things as tourism and light <br />industry. In short, it appears that the trends since the <br />1930's will continue in the future. <br />There is a growing awareness within the basin that a <br />more efficient u tiliza tion of the water and related land <br />resources may help in stabilizing the population shifts <br /> <br />'wvhich have been occurring. Water resources developn1ent <br /> <br />is not the entire solution to the demographic and <br />economic problems of the basin, but it is felt that it can <br />be a significant part of their solution. <br />