|
<br />24170
<br />
<br />3. Regional development. The speci-
<br />fied components of the regional develoP-
<br />ment objective are identifled from the
<br />regional point of view. Thus. early <<:<>n-
<br />slderatlon must be given to the del1ne~
<br />atiell of the region or regions.
<br />A single delineation of a planning
<br />region may not be satisfactory for the
<br />purpose of examining hydrologic prob-
<br />lems. economic and demograJ?'hlc pres-
<br />sures on resource use, and polItical con-
<br />siderations of plan implementation. To
<br />resolve this difficulty two types at re-
<br />gions may be utUlzed: (1) .Formulation
<br />regions for the identiftcatlon of com-
<br />ponent needs for resource use and phys-
<br />ical resource problems; and (2) an
<br />evaluation region for use in evaluating
<br />the beneflclal Bnd adverse effects of al-
<br />ternative plans.
<br />Formulation regions will be used to de-
<br />termine the component nee$ in ~he gen-
<br />eral planning area and to identify llmi-
<br />tations and constraints to wa.ter and land
<br />resource use. These regions will V&rY in
<br />their geographic coverage, depen~ng on
<br />which component need is being cons1d~
<br />ered. For example, a recreation service
<br />area will depend on the extent and dis-
<br />tribution of populaUon as it may a:IJect
<br />the water and land resources Wlder study
<br />and may not be identical with the hy-
<br />drologic area. Similarly, an electric power
<br />market area will like13' encompass a
<br />larger geographic area than the hydro-
<br />logic area or the power needs may be
<br />supplied from on~ or more hydr?logic
<br />areas. In cases where the commodity or
<br />service need.. such as agricultural com-
<br />modities, metals, or services, can be sup-
<br />pUed from a large number of hydrologic
<br />areas, interregJonal projecUons should be
<br />used to determine the probable level of
<br />the total need to be met from the plan-
<br />ning area.
<br />Formulation regions for physica.l prob-
<br />lems may be based on hydrologic con-
<br />siderations 'and should be suIDciently
<br />large to include the identification and
<br />measurement of all signtficant effects of "
<br />proposed. actions. For example, a formu-
<br />lation region for a flood control_problem
<br />should extend downstream from the
<br />probable location of a reservoJr to in-
<br />clude the measurement of significant re-
<br />ductions in flood damages, Similarly, "the
<br />full hydrologic area of the basln or sub-
<br />basin should be in~lude<l to Identify the
<br />full range of water and related land
<br />problems and their potential solutions.
<br />The evaluation region consists of
<br />the geographic area for which a plan
<br />for the use and management of water
<br />and related land resources Is to be de-
<br />signed, This region should be large
<br />enough to encompass all areas that will
<br />be physJcally a.ffected by the plan, and
<br />include contiguous economic areas which
<br />may be signiflcantly affected by the plan,
<br />The plan evaluation region will thus in-:
<br />elude one or more economic accounting
<br />areas as speclfled in sectlon VI. The total
<br />consequences of the plan will be shown
<br />in national economic development, en-
<br />vironmental qUeJity, and social accounts,
<br />indicating tile beneflclal and adverse ef-
<br />fects that accrue both w1thln the pla.n
<br />evaluation region and to the rest of the
<br />Nation. All beneficial and adverse effects
<br />
<br />NOTICES
<br />
<br />that accrue within the plan evaluation
<br />region and in the rest of the Nation will
<br />be identified in the system of ngional
<br />development a.oeounts.
<br />It the plan evaJua.tion region is com-
<br />posed of two or more States, the portion
<br />of the plan relating to each State should
<br />be shown separately.
<br />4. Participation, The actual derivation
<br />and identiflcation of components require
<br />several different approaches. An initial
<br />point of departure is the national and
<br />regional economic analyses and projec-
<br />" tiOJ15 provided by OBERS. These will be
<br />useful in a first-cut definition of the eco-
<br />nomic parameters of the components of
<br />the ni.ultiobjectives. More detailed defini-
<br />tions will require in~depth consultation
<br />with Federal, State, a.nd local omclals
<br />familiar with the plann1ng setting. Di-
<br />rect iriput from the pUblic involved at
<br />the local and regional level is parainount
<br />in view of multiobJectives and should be
<br />pursued vigorously through appropriate
<br />means of public hearings, publle meet-
<br />ings,information programs, cJt1zens com-
<br />mittees, ere,
<br />DeflniUon and specification of the
<br />components of t.he enviromnental qual-
<br />ity objective will require d1rect consulta-
<br />tion with groups identifled with environ-
<br />mental concem.a as well as with those
<br />groups within a planning setting whose
<br />actions have sitmitlcant impacts on the
<br />enVironment. Shnilarly, for the regional
<br />development objective, consultation wUl
<br />be needed with established regional de-
<br />velopment organiZations. A broad spec-
<br />trum of groups and interests Il1.ust be
<br />considered and consulted In the identi~
<br />flcaUon of the components. 1
<br />5. Projected Conditions. The com-
<br />ponents of the muJtfobjectives will be
<br />dfawn for both current and future con~
<br />ditions. Projections should be made for
<br />selected years over a specified planning
<br />period to indicate how changes 1n pop-
<br />ulation and economic conditions are
<br />"likely to impact on the components over
<br />time.
<br />Economic and demographic projections
<br />should be consistent wtth national base-
<br />line projections (OBERS projections)
<br />which reflect differentJal regional growth
<br />patterns and probable future population
<br />and" economic condltioIlB of all regions
<br />of the Nation. AddItiOnal projections
<br />whIch reflect a regional point of view
<br />and which are required for ident1tlcatlon
<br />of components of the regional develop-
<br />ment Objective should also be made.
<br />Such projections, however, should be
<br />made on a comparable basis wIth the
<br />OBERS projections to enable valid com-
<br />pa.risons to be made between alternative
<br />national and regional plans based on
<br />these dJfferent projections. Because de~
<br />mands tor commodities and services are
<br />a function of price, the future needs are
<br />also affected by price. Therefore, the as-
<br />sWllptions relating ,to prices used to
<br />determine the future needs must be
<br />stated,
<br />Environmental needs of the future
<br />should be Identl1led In terms of specl1lc
<br />featt.lreS of the na.tural environment of
<br />the area that wUl assure B continuance of
<br />sources with UmItart1oru; alleviated 010
<br />a healthful, scenic, a.nd aestheticallY sa~
<br />lsfylng expertence, to all cltlzel18, Par
<br />
<br />instance, unique archeological. hJstorjcal,
<br />and biOlogical features of the area that
<br />are desired for preservation for future
<br />generations should be Identified. Desired
<br />environmental conditiOIl8 lor the future
<br />should be expliCitly stated. These envi-"
<br />ronmental component needs should re-
<br />flect not only current Dreferences but
<br />should a.ttempt to reft.ect the preferences
<br />likely to prevallln the future,
<br />6." Sensitivity tests. In view of the 00-
<br />certainty, with respect to both economic
<br />and demographic change as well as the
<br />lUlcertainty of future preferences for the
<br />components of the environmental ob-
<br />jective. it will be necessary in projecting
<br />the needs associated with these com-
<br />ponents to show alternative levels in the
<br />future as the basis for testing the sensi~
<br />tivity of alternatJve plans when evaluated
<br />against different levels of needs for a
<br />given component in the future.
<br />,7. Preferenc~. The spec1ftc~tion of the
<br />components of the multiobJectives must
<br />refiect the spec1fl.c e:IJects tha.t a.re desired
<br />by gro\U)s and individuals of the planning "
<br />area as well as the specttlc components
<br />declared to be in the national interest
<br />by the Congress or by the executive
<br />branch through the Water Resources
<br />COWlcll. In this wa,y the components of
<br />multlobJectlves wllr reflect local, State,
<br />and national preferences a.nd priorities
<br />as well B.8 the extent of complementaritY
<br />and conflict among components.
<br />In thJs regard, the ident1tlc&tlon and
<br />detailing of the components of the multi-
<br />objectives should be viewed. as the proc-
<br />ess of mB.k1ng expllcit the range of pref-
<br />erences and desires of those atrected by
<br />resource development in terms of refer-
<br />ence thM can form the b861s for the
<br />formulation of plans. Rather than a
<br />single level of ach1evemenJt being set
<br />forth for any speclfied component, a
<br />range of possible levels should be set
<br />forth 80 that the relevant preferences"
<br />can be seen for a given camponent. :m
<br />should be anticipated t/ul,t "the lnIt1al
<br />specifl.cation of components wlll be mod-
<br />ifled (expanded. or reduced) during sub~
<br />,sequent stepS in plan formulation to re-
<br />flect the caPl'bWty of alternative plans
<br />to satisfy OODlpOIlent needs and to re-
<br />flect" technloal, leglsle.tlve, or adminis-
<br />trative constraints.
<br />
<br />c. EVALUATION or RESOURCE CAPABILITIES
<br />
<br />In very broad terms, the first 5tep of
<br />specification of the components of mu1tJ-
<br />objec~ives can be viewed as establis""h:,~\
<br />rthe boundaries of demand (needs or
<br />problems) in the context of each objec-
<br />tive. In the next step, evaluation at .re~
<br />source ca.pa.bfIltfes, the initial evaluation
<br />is made of the supplY (availability) of
<br />the resources that can be employed to
<br />satisfY the current a.nd future levels of
<br />demand.
<br />Resources of the planning area shall
<br />be evaluated in terms or their ability
<br />to meet the current and projected needs
<br />Identifled for each component under two
<br />sets of eondit1ons: (l) Capability of re-
<br />sources without any planned a.ctlon: and
<br />(2) capability of water and land re-
<br />produottvlty enhanced through manage-
<br />ment plans. An -analysis of the capa.bUity "
<br />of resources to meet the projected needs
<br />without a~ planned actton will reveal
<br />
<br />FEDERAL REGISTER, VOL. 36, NO. 24S.-,;..TUESDAY, DECEMBER 21, 1971
<br />
|