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<br />\,
<br />r
<br />
<br />In terms of beneficIal effects, adverse ef-
<br />fects should be read a.s the converse of
<br />eaoh statement, Beneflcl8I effects <llIld
<br />adverse e:IIects) of a plan include:
<br />a. Effecu on. real incomes. Beneficial
<br />effects to this component occur when
<br />designated persons or groups receive m-
<br />come generated as a result of the plan..
<br />The income distribution effect can be
<br />measured as the net amount of total and
<br />per capita income accruing to designated
<br />persons or groups.
<br />Current guidelines or yardsticks de-
<br />fining the, family poverty llne may be
<br />used as the data from which to measure
<br />and portray the esUmated absolute and
<br />percentage increase toward meeting or
<br />exceeding th1s standard for specific geo-
<br />graphic planning areas.
<br />Conversely. adverse effects are iden-
<br />tified and measured as the reduced real
<br />income. of such persons or groups due to
<br />taxes. relmblU'sement costs, and other
<br />adverse economic effects.
<br />b. Effect! on security oj Ii/e. health.
<br />and safetll. Beneflcial etrects to th1s com-
<br />ponent include cont,rlbuttons to (1) re-
<br />ducing risk of 11000, drought, or other
<br />disaster affecting the security of Ufe,
<br />health, and safety; (2) reducing the
<br />number.) of disease-carrying insects and
<br />related pathological factors; (3) reduc-
<br />ing the concentration and exposure to
<br />water and air pollution; ,and (4) pro-
<br />viding a. year-round conswner choice of
<br />foods that contribute to the improvement
<br />01 nationaJ nutrition. . ,
<br />In those limited situations where his-
<br />torical experience is sufficiently docu-
<br />mented to provide coi111dence in project-
<br />Ing likely future hazards, an estimate of
<br />the number of Uves saved or the number
<br />of persons affected may be provided. In
<br />most tnstances, however, a descriptive-
<br />qualitative interpretation and evalua-
<br />tion of the improvement and expected
<br />results will be applicable.
<br />Conversely, adverse effects are identi-
<br />fled and measured or described as in-
<br />creases in hazards to llfe, health. and
<br />8afety.
<br />c. Effect. on emeTuencJl preparedness.
<br />Beneficial effects to th18 component in-
<br />clude cOntributiol18 to (1) extending,
<br />maintaining, and protectIng major com-
<br />ponents of the national water transpor-
<br />tation system; (2) prov1s1on of llex1ble
<br />reserves of water supplies; '(3) provision
<br />of crittcal power supplies (ample, sta.ble,
<br />quickly responsive) : (4) provision of re-
<br />serve food production potential; (5) pro-
<br />v1s1on for the conservation of scarce
<br />fuels; (6) provision for dispersal of pop-
<br />nlatlon and Industry; and (7) supplying
<br />international treaty requirements. '
<br />Whlle these beneQclal effects wlll be
<br />measured in appropriate quantitative
<br />units where readily practicable, they wlli
<br />be largely charactertzed in descrlptive-
<br />qualitative terms.
<br />Conversely, adverse etfects are iden-
<br />tified and measured or described as over-
<br />loading capacities of water resource sys-
<br />tems and Increaslng the risk of interrup-
<br />tion In the flow of essentlal goods and
<br />services needed for speclal requirements
<br />of na.tional security.
<br />
<br />NOTICES
<br />
<br />24165
<br />
<br />d. Other. The effects on other social
<br />factor. may be Identlfled and displayed
<br />. as relevant to alternative plans.
<br />
<br />IV. GENERAL EVALUATION STANDARDS
<br />
<br />To assure consistency in the appl1ca-
<br />tlon of planning. principles, uniform
<br />evaluation guides are necessary. The fol-
<br />lowing general evaluation standards are
<br />to be used, to the extent applicable, In
<br />considering all objectives in planning of
<br />water Bnd land resources. Devia.tion In
<br />the application of these evaluation stand-
<br />ards and the reasons therefor should
<br />be fnlly reported,
<br />
<br />A. GENERAL SETTING
<br />
<br />Plan formulation and evaluation shall
<br />be based upOn national and regional pro-
<br />Jections of employment, output, and pop-
<br />
<br />ul9,tlon and the amounts of goods and
<br />services that are likely to be requlred.
<br />The Water Resources Connell has ar;'
<br />ranged for preparation and perIod1c re-
<br />vision of a set of national and regional
<br />economio projections as a. guide to proj-
<br />ect. regional. and river basin plannIng.
<br />These projections rctlect the Counell's
<br />current views as to probable rates of
<br />growth in population, the gross national
<br />product, employment, productivity. and
<br />other factors. The projections also in-
<br />clude expected rates of regional growth
<br />in relation to the level ofllrojected na-
<br />tional growth. The following t:a.ble shows
<br />. the selected national projections adopted
<br />by the Water Resources COlmcll reflect-
<br />ing the expected rates of national growth.
<br />The COUDcll may change these national
<br />projections by amending these standards.
<br />
<br />W...n:a RKBoURcb C01rncn. PROSECTION! SELECTED NATIONA.L DATA HISTORICA.L AND PaOJBCTED I
<br />
<br /> Total population Labor force ClvlUan Unemploy. ctvtJlan
<br /> y"" populatlon U and OTtIZ' part1clpa- Labor!orl:l8 lsbor foreo went rate emploz.meni:
<br /> (OODSOO) (cenallll) tlonrate!l (BLB) (BLa) . (BLB) (B )
<br /> (computed)
<br /> """"'.... n..m.u n....... ......"". ..........
<br />10110_______.._____ Hi2.271 1I3,~ ~an ...". 63."'" .06314 59,701&
<br />19615_________.._._ 106.031 119,440 ,6T/ ea,8ll11 M,547 .0012 ",...
<br />lGeO_____________ 1811,68fo 121,336 .674 '13.126 70,012 ,06067 "'681
<br />19005______________ IG4.592 138,200 ,067 78,358 7/i,lI3li ,01"" . 7'2, InJ
<br />IGM_______.._____ 196,900 140,M6 ,'70 SO,IM 71,041 , 03S63 74,OllI
<br />1967________._____ lW,lIS 142"V61 .15711 82,170 78,m' ,"""" 76,mB
<br />19G8______._______ 201,166 14.1i,405 .676 83,687 8O,Ui2 .03671 Tl,210
<br />Rat.&.J~
<br />{percent)_____.. .,. 1.4 _..______h.._ U 1.3_.__________.. U
<br />CMMU C C""",C
<br />1980____..______.. 235,212 114.234- ,,", 101. 763 ",763 ,,,",,,, ...""
<br />20XL_...________. 307,803 W,0I70 ,,", 134.1162 131.lI62 ,,,",,,, 126,39lI
<br />2020_....._______. 000,063 ,,~"" ,,," 170.'127 178,'" ,,,",,,, 166,oIUO
<br />Rate, 1008-_
<br />(p(ll"cent)_______ 1,3 1.4________.____. U 1.11______________ 1,.
<br /> ClvtUan Qlvnlan Private Prh&t6 Private GrOss TotitJ.
<br /> love:nment private ooonom. . eoonomy economy national ~~er
<br /> . employ- ornnf~t bonnpM' product Del' gram product
<br /> mllnt mm-._ 1Jl8I1-bour product (OBE) mEl:r.
<br /> (BLS) (BLB) (BLa) \oomS-Ut6d) (OBE) (l9li8dollarw)
<br /> (Wi8 ol.l.l!ln) (lW)8 dollan) (BLH)
<br /> ('/1.qruQrtlh) (~) (Millloml) CMiUfont) (DocsIandt)
<br />1950._________.___ ~m '63,,964 ~"7 .,. 319,410 38S,,,", al,3ge
<br />11155__________.___ 0,806 M.IS7 ~"I 3," ""007 .07,963 M,Wl
<br />11100________._.___ 7,lH3 IS,T.llI ~0'l7 3,68 0138,523 0187,682 69,1"
<br />19G1L____________ 9,623 ...... ~... ... 069,o>l 617,'199 U,,0O2
<br />1Dll6___h_________ 10,M6 63.n9 ~... ... ....'" 658,087 27,1118
<br />1007______.______. 11.183 ...... 1,006 4.701 lil>>,I00 674,,6'18 7O,OM
<br />1968______________ 11,627 ...... ~m ... 638,006 707,60S 1ll,746
<br />Rate,195O--68,
<br />(percent) n U__ a. 1,1 -.. 3,' a. 3,' ...
<br />1980_____._______. lli.510l 70,280 1,918 7,03 ~ooo.'" 1.153,,873 97,803
<br />2lXlO___._n_______ 23,'" '...... 1,823 110> ~383,m ~....... 1211,396
<br />3lW______.______. M,6n 131,018 1,736 .." l5,2-C8,901 l5,-I23,I36 15,0190
<br />RUll, 1968-203),
<br />(percIln&)nu.. 3,1 1.4 -0.26 as U .. 1,'
<br /> ProdDol Product Total P....... Domestic Domlll!ltio Damf:lltlc
<br /> "",m~ perc::apU:a "....,... In""",. ",no'" """'- private
<br /> (computed) (computed) Inoo= P(o~:-- income (OBE) ='
<br /> (19M . (1058 (OBE) (OBE) (19M
<br /> dollare) doll&t8) (I"" (1968 (19118 dollars) (1968
<br /> dol.lara) dolllll'll) dollara) dollBnl)
<br /> MiUlOfU MaJlOfUI MillioJu MIllIO'Rl
<br />1950_u....______ 11,787 ~333 ",an 1,803 272,S76 2:26,I00f, 199,0178
<br />II1M._____._______ ~O37 ~... 335,010 2,,019 332,183 m,59& W,02li
<br />lQ60__.____.._____ ',018 3,6llO 3S9,603 2.167 887,489 317,fi711 271,681
<br />19l16...______.____ .,,," 3,171 ,,",>IS ~"O ........ -...."" ",...
<br />IIl66..n_____.____ a". 3,'" 62O"Yl 2.6701 623,,1113 ....... 366,0138
<br />19117.....____.._._ 0,,", 3,388 ....1.. ~763 "',800 ..., "" ....923
<br />]968_u_______..._ a 703 3.618 ...."" ~... 670.0171 ........ 383, 933
<br />Ra&e,19l1O--88
<br />(Del'UDt)nn._ U U U as u u 3,7
<br />I~__:-----_:.- ,,708 ..... 070,<30 U.. V'la,3711 270,'" 631,887
<br />2000__.._______.. ...... U" 3,330.... 7,>16 a%22,m ~723,063 I.37e,S2e
<br />~___h_._____n 11.007 13,068 "'087,314 l2,'" ...m,l521 ~'198,T1Q a.......
<br />BaUl, 1968-2020
<br />(pornODU__m, 11 as U as .., u u
<br />
<br />I TbeaJUJ'CllS oltbo ~ data an fndJcsted In tbll!lcolamD blSdlnga. Tbe pro1eotlODl of populatloa an from tbI
<br />B1D'lSI 01 u.. CeDsl& AD oUlIll' proJecUoml v-ero prepK'Id for the Coundl by the OmOll 01 Bu.alnees Boonom1c:&.
<br />~tolCG:Dmeroe.
<br />
<br />FEDERAL REGISTER, VOL 36, NO. 245-TUESDAY,. DECEMBER 21, 1971
<br />
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