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<br />0-028 8 ~ <br /> <br />A factor which was not included in the future demand development pertained to <br />the price of stumpage in the Forest's market area. This was not used since a <br />price/quantity relationship could not be established. Whatever the future <br />effect of price changes on this Forest's demand, the Forest contends those <br />changes would fall within the range of historical prices paid for stumpage. <br /> <br />Table 111-30 displays the timber demand on the Forest. Volumes in parentheses <br />are board foot volumes. Sawtimber demand remains at current levels until 1991 <br />at which time they increase by 18.5~. The existing waferwood industry remains <br />in the Forest market area and demand for the Forest's aspen and non-waferwood <br />conifer POL is 90~ of the total area demand. Demand for waferwood increases in <br />1991 by 28~. The Forest's demand will remain at 90~ of the total. <br /> <br />TABLE 1II-30. <br /> <br />* <br />TIMBER DEMAND <br />(Thousand Cubic Feet Per Year) <br /> <br />Product <br />Category <br /> <br />Time Period <br />Current 1988-1997 1998-2037 <br /> <br />-Conifer <br />Sawtimber 11,683 5,289 5,549 <br /> (21,073) (23,800) (211,970) <br />-Aspen <br />Sawtimber 363 363 363 <br /> ( 1,633) (1,633) (1,633) <br />-Waferwood POL 7,200 8,611 9,216 <br /> (28,800) (34,1144) <36,8611) <br />-Non-Waferwood conifer POL <br /> 710 710 710 <br /> 2,820 (24820) (2,820) <br />SubTotal 12,956 1 ,973 15,838 <br /> (54,346) (62,697) (66,287) <br />-Personal <br />Use Fuelwood 1,7110 1,7110 1,740 <br /> (64950) (66950) (6,950) <br />Total 1 ,696 1 ,713 17,578 <br /> (61,296) (69,647) (73,237) <br />* <br />Board foot figures in parentheses. <br /> <br />The previous table 111-30 represents a conservative estimate of the most likely <br />demand for the Forest's timber in the near future. <br /> <br />The Forest Service believes that the level of conifer sawtimber harvest will <br />rise, as there are indications that current sawtimber demand is still <br />increasing. This is mainly due to the expansion of Blue Mesa Corporation's <br />mill and Stone Container Corporation's desire to place a kiln at their mill in <br />South Fork. The Forest has offered over 30 MMBF per year in conifer since the <br />Plan was approved. Industry has chosen to buy that volume. Volume under <br /> <br />17 <br />