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<br />I <br />I <br /> <br />12 <br /> <br />TRIBAL WATER MANAGEMENT HANDBOOK <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />watcr in the arid pans of the western United States and probably would intensify the <br />sentiment in some quarters against Indian water rights. <br /> <br />Whatever happens with the climate, it will remain variable and challenging to <br />predict Roods and droughts must continue to be anticipated. The current trend in <br />water resource planning is to try first 10 identify the risks associated with climatic and <br />other uncenainties, and then to put a price tag on the flood-control and drought- <br />mitigation measures involved with different levels of so-called "risk avoidance." <br />This process can be expected to continue, even though many observers think the <br />process is more an than science. <br /> <br />Cities v. Crops: Patterns of Urbanization and IrrigatWn <br /> <br />The population of cities generally has been expanding dramatically in recent <br />decades in some areas such as the Sun Belt.3 The growth in population has increased <br />water demand, taxing local supplies, even threatening to exhaust some imponed <br />supplies. Denver, Phoenix, Tucson, Albuquerque, Santa Fe, San Diego and many <br />other communities, large and small alike, have sought to add to their supplies. Since <br />irrigated farms account for 85% of the water consumption in the West,4 it is not <br />surprising that cities and industries have purchased irrigated farmlands to acquire <br />water rights. Urban areas, as centers of wealth and political power, can be expected <br />to continue to be aggressive competitors for water. <br /> <br />Since World War II, irrigated acreage has expanded in the West to the point <br />where now over 40 million acres are estimated to be under irrigation in 17 western <br />states of the conterminous United States.5 Although irrigation has been expanding in <br />the Southeast, the West accounts for 90% of irrigation water use in the nation. The <br />location of much of western irrigation has shifted gradually away from the Sun Belt <br />toward the Nonhem Plains. This change has occurred partially as a result of the use <br />of the center-pivot sprinklers to apply pumped ground water in Kansas and Nebraska. <br />Overall, the national rate of growth in irrigation has been declining and is likely to <br />continue doing so because of the cost of energy and water. <br /> <br />Renewable v. Nonrenewable Supplies: Ground Water Overdraft <br /> <br />Ground water use has been increasing rapidly in the United States for decades. <br />Ground water is the source of one-half of the nation's drinking water and 40% of its <br />irrigation water and supplies about 80% of the domestic and livestock needs of rural <br />America. California and Texas account for a disproportionately large share of the <br />total ground water use, followed by Nebraska, Idaho, Kansas and Arizona.6 <br /> <br />Most usable ground water is "riverene"-an integral part of the surface flow of <br />streams and rivers-and is recharged by the percolation of water from the surface of <br />the land. The recharge rate in some aquifers is so slow or minimal, however, that <br />those aquifers contain essentially "stock" or "nonrenewable" ground water. As <br />explained later in this Handbook, when ground water withdrawal exceeds the <br />recharge, an aquifer is said to be "mined" or "overdrafted." Ground water is being <br />overdrafted in the West at the rate of about 22 million acre-feet per year, which is <br />roughly equivalent to one and a half times the mean annual flow of the Colorado <br />River at Lees Ferry. Whether overdrafting increases or decreases in the future will <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />I <br />