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WSPC00811
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Last modified
1/26/2010 11:07:29 AM
Creation date
10/9/2006 2:21:57 AM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Water Supply Protection
File Number
8200.700
Description
Colorado River Basin General Publications - Augmentation-Weather Modification
State
CO
Basin
Colorado Mainstem
Water Division
5
Date
4/13/1983
Author
DOI-BOR
Title
CREST - Colorado River Enhanced Snowpack Test - Environmental Assessment and Finding of No Significant Impact
Water Supply Pro - Doc Type
Report/Study
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<br />OOiJ129 <br /> <br />Wilderness areas are subject. Yet none of the degrada- <br />tional changes that it has been surmised precipitation <br />management might entail ~ distrubance of the natural <br />community of life, outbreaks of pestilence or disease, <br />elimination of species, reduction of the wilderness gene <br />pool, damaging erosion, interference with access, etc. - <br />none of them was reported to have occurred as a result of <br />(or even in association with) these climatic swings. <br /> <br />"The vari ation of weather over periods shorter than a <br />decade, all the way down to daily and hourly weather <br />changes is substantially greater. It exceeds to an enor- <br />mous degree the effects of cloud seeding. In fact, a <br />quarter-century of controversy over whether or not cloud <br />seeding is effective springs mainly from the difficulty of <br />recognizing 'observable artificiality' in any given seeded <br />weather even or even in whole seasons of seeded weather. <br />It is only through extensive statistical comparison that <br />the effects of weather modification on precipitation <br />amounts have become discernible. It follows that the <br />effects of cloud seeding on precipitation have not intro- <br />duced 'observable artificiality' into any area subject to <br />weather modification and no such effect on Wilderness areas <br />is to be anticipated. <br /> <br />"The expectation of an 'observable artificiality' in the <br />response of the natural community of life to weather <br />modification is even more remote because of the many other <br />influences (some of them mentioned above) the effects of <br />which become confused with those of weather. For example, <br />although the survival rate of nestling birds is greatly <br />affected by weather, it has not been found possible to <br />relate more than a small part of the total variability of <br />the population of a given bird species to weather factors. <br />Similar results have come from the study of elk, small <br />mammals, wood production in forests, etc. It is over- <br />whelmingly apparent from these environmental and ecological <br />studies that weather modification by presently available <br />techniques does not have the capability for causing observ- <br />ably artificial changes in the ecological environment, even <br />when the most sensitive direct and indirect means of <br />measurement and analysis (including statistical analysis) <br />are used. <br /> <br />"In the f ace of these many i nfl uences, the community of <br />life in a Wilderness area is not static. Wildlife popula- <br />tions fluctuate widely, for reasons very imperfectly <br />understood but in which weather is only one of many fac- <br />tors. The flora exhibit successional stages of recovery <br />from catastrophic disturbances such as wildfire, land- <br />slide, pestilence, drought, and gradual, subtle changes in <br />response to the more gradual disturbances such as climatic <br /> <br />32 <br /> <br />~ <br />
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