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<br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />not been included in future projected revenues on the basis that n cannot be predicted or <br />guaranteed in the future, The projected future budget is summarized in the last column of Table 3, <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Economic Imeact <br />At a minimum, the District will realize a gain of 3,700 acre-feet in reservoir storage capacity <br />wnh the outlet rehabilitation, 60 percent (2,200 acre-feet) of which will be delivered to the fields for <br />Irrigation, This equates to about five percent of the farm headgate requirement for the Julesburg <br />Irrigation District. Under the worst case scenario whereby the State Engineer's Office would allow <br />no storage In the reservoir due to safety problems associated with the existing outlet works <br />(assuming no repairs), a potential reduction of about 13,400 acre-feet in the farm head gate deliveries <br />would occur (Including the 2,200 acre-feet of gain due to outlet repair), which equates to about 30 <br />percent of the overall water supply, Table 13 shows the derivation of the above values, <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Reservoir irrigation releases generally occur In July and August in order to supplement the <br />direct flow Irrigation diversion during the hottest part of the growing season when crop consumptive <br />use requirements are the greatest and the available flow in the South Platte begins to decline. A <br />reduction of Irrigation water during this period would negatively affect crop production, Conversely, <br />an Increase in water supply will help insure good crop production through this critical growth period, <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />The average annual value of crops produced in the District, assuming 1989 crop prices, is <br />about $6,887,000 (see Table 5), If it is assumed that a five percent increase in the District water <br />supply (2,200 acre-feet) would result in a five percent increase in crop yields, regaining full reservoir <br />capacny through fixing the reservoir outlet would equate to an increase of about $344,000 per year <br />In farm revenue (5% of $6,887,000). Assuming a 30 percent reduction of water supply would <br />translate into a 30 percent reduction in farmed acreage and, correspondingly, a 30 percent <br />reduction in crop yields, the loss of use of the reservoir due to dam safety concerns would equate <br />to an annual loss in farm revenue of about $2,066,000 per year (30% of $6,887,000), <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Evaluation of Alternatives <br />Based upon a strict cost-benefit analysis alone, Alternative A in Table 11 would be the <br />selec1ed rehabilitation alternative for the outlet works, For all alternatives A through F in Tables 11 <br />and 12, the primary benefits of maintaining an operational structure and increasing the usable <br />storage by 3,700 acre-feet are the same. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />19 <br /> <br />. <br />