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<br />I <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />blockage of the spillway and outlet works or even failure of the dam due to <br /> <br />overtopping. Minor sloughing and erosion due to the combined effects of <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />wave action and rapid drawdown (which it is understood could be ~n the order <br /> <br />of 10 feet per day) will certainly occur during initial reservoir operation. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />As the shoreline will stabilize normally with time, this temporary condition <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />is assumed to be acceptable. <br /> <br />Borrow Area A. The only portion of the future shoreline which would <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />appear to have significant slide potential is in the vicinity of Borrow Area A. <br /> <br />Existing slopes in that area are as steep as 2:1 within the reservoir fluctu- <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />ation zone, based upon field observation and map study. If not flattened by <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />excavation, these slopes will be adversely affected by drawdown, the high <br /> <br />water table during runoff, and the buoying effect of the reservoir. Under <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />these conditions,- the potential could exist for a dangerous slide, consider- <br />/ . <br /> <br />ing the elevation, orientation, and proximity of the slope to the dam and <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />spillway. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />Without stabilizing excavation, the volume of such a slide could con- <br /> <br />ceivably be on the order of one million cubic yards in volume. To obtain a <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />"feel" for the possible consequences of such a slide, one might assume that <br /> <br />this volume moved from entirely above the reservoir level to a completely <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />submerged position near the upstream toe of the dam. The displaced reservoir <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />water, being roughly that of the soil bulk volume, would be some 600 A-feet. <br /> <br />Assuming the reservoir to be at spillway crest elevation prior to the slide, <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />the level would rise approximately three feet, leaving approximately 12 feet <br /> <br />of freeboard, It ~ould appear from these rough calculations that a gradual <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />slide would not cause overtopping of the dam, particularly if we take spill- <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />,way flow into account, A sudden slide could be capable of causing severe <br /> <br />waves but the probability of waves exceeding 12 feet in height would seem <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />very remote. On the other hand, the potential for a slide which could plug <br /> <br />the outlet works intake and at least partially block the spillway approach <br /> <br />I <br />