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1/26/2010 10:10:10 AM
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Title
Mathematical Modeling of a Sociological and Hydrologic Decision System
Date
6/1/1978
Prepared By
Institute for Social Science Research on Natural Resources, Utah State Univ.
Floodplain - Doc Type
Educational/Technical/Reference Information
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<br /> <br />by Ihe model with the corresponding measured hydro- <br />graph from the prototype. From the results, relation. <br />ships between model coefficienls and various urbaniza. <br />tion characteristics, such as percent impervious cover, <br />are established. These relalionships then can be ap. <br />plied in predicting the effects of future urban develop- <br />ment. For urban flood sludies, only surface runoff <br />need be considered. The relevant processes for both <br />rural and urban drainage areas are shown within the <br />dotted line of Figure 3.2. <br /> <br />Experimental and analytical results also are used <br />in establishing and testing the mathematical relation. <br />ships included with the model. Hydrologic parameters <br />needed for operation of the hydrologic model are esti- <br />mated: 1) from available data, 2) by slatistical corre. <br />lation techniques, and/or 3) through calibration of the <br />model ilself. <br /> <br />The Hydrologic Balance <br /> <br />A dynamic system consists of 1) a medium or <br />media acted upon, 2) a set of constraints, and 3) an <br />energy supply or driving force. In a hydrologic sys- <br />tem, water is the medium of interest. The constraints <br />are properties of the physical basin, and Ihe driving <br /> <br />Eva oration <br /> <br />I- <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />L__ <br /> <br />Precipitation, Pr <br /> <br />Interce tion <br /> <br /> <br />Water at <br />Groundsurfac. <br /> <br />Infiltration <br /> <br />Root Zone <br />Storage <br /> <br />Evapotranspiration <br /> <br />forces are supplied by solar energy, gravity, and cap- <br />illary potential. The flow of water through the sys- <br />tem is governed by principles of continuity of mass <br />and momentum. Except where high velocilies are <br />encountered, such as in channel flow, the effects of <br />momenlum are negligible, and the continuity of mass <br />predominates. <br /> <br />Continuity of mass is expressed by the equation: <br /> <br />Output = Inpul:t Change in slorage. . . (3.1) <br /> <br />A hydrologic balance is the application of this equa. <br />tion 10 physical or hydrologic measuremenls within a <br />particular unit. It provides a basis for routing to pre- <br />dict the rnovemenl of water through a system in space <br />and lime. The inpuls to a hydrologic unit are pre. <br />cipitalion and surface and groundwater inflow while <br />the output is divided among surface outflow, ground- <br />\Wter outflow, and evapotranspiration. As water <br />passes through, storage changes occur on the land sur. <br />face, in the soil moisture zone, in the groundwater <br />zone, and in the stream channels. These changes oc- <br />cur rapidly in surface locations and more slowly in <br />the subsurface zones. <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />---l <br /> <br />Interflow <br /> <br /> <br />Groundwater <br />Outflow <br /> <br />FIgUre 3.2. A schematic diagram of a typical hydrologic system. <br /> <br />24 <br />
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