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Title
Mathematical Modeling of a Sociological and Hydrologic Decision System
Date
6/1/1978
Prepared By
Institute for Social Science Research on Natural Resources, Utah State Univ.
Floodplain - Doc Type
Educational/Technical/Reference Information
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<br />CHAPTER III <br />MODELING THE HYDROlDGIC COMPONENT <br />OF THE SYSTEM <br /> <br />Introduction <br /> <br />Urban land use planners must work with a limited <br />available land area in supplying the needs of the com- <br />munity for housing, commerce, industry, recreation, <br />and transportation. Inlerspersed over the same land <br />area, Ihe hydrologic system must carry away treated <br />waste effluenl and often supplies water used by Ihose <br />downstream. Simultaneously, it must carry away the <br />slorm runoff from the city but convey Ihe flow al suf- <br />ficiently low rales so as not to inflict excessive flood <br />damages. <br /> <br />Planners with urban flood water management <br />responsibility need quanlitalive information on how <br />storm runoff is affected by various urban land use pat- <br />terns 1) so Ihat Ihey can effectively design structural <br />measures for conveying the flood water through the <br />urban area and/or 2) select nonslruclural measures 10 <br />keep damageable property out of the way of the flood- <br />ing that does occur. One approach 10 gelling lhis in- <br />formation and using it in design is computer simulation <br />using a mathematical model to investigate the behav- <br />ior of the system. In the study reporled here, a com- <br />puter model is used to simulate the hydrologic res- <br />ponses of an urban watershed from measured variables <br />representing urbanization. The model represenls the <br />system by funclions which describe various physical <br />phenomena on Ihe watershed and can be used to ap- <br />praise proposed changes within the corresponding pro- <br />totype. <br /> <br />The Conceptual Models of the <br />Hydrologic System <br /> <br />The hydrologic models utilized in this sludy are <br />outgrowihs of those developed earlier for both rural <br />and urban watersheds (Narayana et aI., 1969, Evelyn <br />el aI., 1970, Shih, 1971, and Chambers, 1973). The <br />hydrologic models are developed Ihrough mathemali- <br />cal representation of the various hydrologic processes <br />and routine functions that are not specific to any par- <br />ticular geography. <br /> <br />The outflow hydrograph is modeled by chrono- <br />logically deducting from precipitation input losses due <br />to interception, inf1ltration, and depression storage <br />and then routing the residual through surface and chan- <br />nel slorages (Figure 3.1). Testing and verification of <br />the basic mathematical model is done by using observed <br />rainfall and runoff data from instrumented watersheds. <br />The coefficienls representing interception, depression <br />storage, and inftltralion are calibraled by trial-and- <br />error matching of the outflow hydrograph predicted <br /> <br />1 ntercept ion <br /> <br /> <br />Step 1 <br /> <br />Infiltration <br />Depression Ston'ile <br /> <br />Step 2 <br /> <br />Overland flow Routing <br /> <br /> <br />Step 3 <br /> <br />Tributary Channel Routing <br /> <br /> <br />Step '+ <br /> <br />Main Channel Routing <br /> <br /> <br />Figure 3.1. Schematic representation of the steps used <br />to obtain the rnnoff hydrograph <br /> <br />23 <br />
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