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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />MODELING <br /> <br />The Corps' model was adapted to refine hydrology modeling of the West Valley of <br />South Boulder Creek. Apparently, the purpose of the Corps' model was to attain <br />general flood discharge quantities along the main streams. The purpose of the <br />refinements herein was to begin the process of estimating specific flow paths and <br />discharge amounts in the West Valley area resulting from South Boulder Creek spills <br />and local drainage. <br /> <br />The initial model simulates local subbasin runoff and key drainage conveyance <br />components within the West Valley from the Viele Channel to the Wellman Ditch, <br />The West Valley is part of the alluvial fan of South Boulder Creek. As with most <br />alluvial fans, flood waters spread into many flow paths across the entire valley. <br />The works of man have caused this water to follow set paths controlled by streets, <br />culverts, and grading, A complicated drainage network then exists which <br />effectively splits the flood along many routes, which often recombine and then <br />resplit, This report specifically addresses many of the key flow splits that occur in <br />the West Valley from Highway 36 to the area of the Wellman Ditch. <br /> <br />The modeling and hydrology effort revealed some shortcomings of the Corps' <br />hydrology model. Review of the Corps' model and comparison with physical data <br />and parameters established by other Federal agencies and local criteria suggests <br />significant discrepancies and a likely under prediction of South Boulder Creek flood <br />flows by the Corps' model. The rainfall data does not conform to either the <br />National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) Atlas procedures or <br />current local standards, We estimate that the Corps' rainfall is from 0.67 to 0.72 <br />inches short for the peak one hour duration, In addition, the Corps' peak rainfall <br />intensity was 2,7 inches/hour for 30 minutes in comparison to 8.0 inches/hour for <br />five minutes used in local criteria, At least two square miles of the tributary area in <br />the South Boulder Creek watershed is missing from the Corps' model. Correcting <br />these issues would cause the projected runoff to increase. On the other hand, the <br />Corps does not adequately model stream routing, Correcting this issue may <br />somewhat mitigate the aforementioned increase, Resolutions of other issues such <br />as infiltration, depression storage, and overland runoff characteristic could also <br />affect the hydrology, probably to a lesser degree. An increase in peak flow can <br />likely be expected as part of future efforts. <br /> <br />FINDINGS <br /> <br />The following findings can be more easily understood by examining Drawing No.3 <br />in the back of this report. (Drawings 1 and 2 are with the Phase I report.) <br />Understanding the many flow splits is necessary to understanding the hydrology. <br />Some of the more significant flow splits during the 100 year flood include the <br />following: <br /> <br />1- 3 <br />