|
<br />~_..._.,..,.
<br />
<br />3,000
<br />
<br />2,500 ,
<br />
<br /> 2,000
<br />~
<br />.!!.
<br />~
<br />E' 1.500
<br />m
<br />.c
<br />"
<br />"
<br />Q
<br /> 1.000
<br />
<br />...._n',_
<br />
<br />Graph 5. Gumbel Regression of AMS and CUHP Data
<br />
<br />Gumbel Frequency Factor vs. Actual Harvard Gulch
<br />Peak Discharges all,!! CUHP Prediction 140'/! Imp.1 Class B)
<br />
<br />2 year
<br />
<br />5 year.
<br />
<br />50 year
<br />
<br />100 year
<br />
<br />10 year
<br />
<br />500
<br />
<br />F'--....~:. 1: . .....1.1,1-. :,~:.:,'~...:"r,1Ir..~.:.,.J,'ff '.'W ";'-lrnfW~';:l:"~T rj~". 'i li 1i '.I:.:r;~j~
<br />r: : ill! i~!t :' ,:.:t~tml.)1 1\ ' < 'ji! ::~:!1ll,',:j~t::>.:, f } ,11 :l <j~, ': ': f" . ~I:. 'l.:jf<j(l
<br />k-.:.~:~".:."':'..:JL ~. ~,~~.:_,.:..: .~:,;'. ,~,,-,. ',,~"'.L'......~:.dlJL..: h.. . 'Jt : .~: l:c.. .i.,",.L!.~lr.jL _.-,.11-" _:~. ~l it l ~.,_i ... '. A '-;:.~ ,~~ :.-:-_; ~_ w,;h,.:-~=;~L.,:.l..Ll
<br />r j' q. ~.-._. "T':"-~nr"'~~ ,p,.,' ~r'-~-;;-l~r'--~p.- ~~ ;r..~~-,,--~;>-q t' '~~":~}[~f1
<br />t'..,.....,.-.~,;,.. '-':', ','; f ...-...~,~.~.,llt. .'. 1,.~.' ~~ !f.~;lll~ ',:: :; ,;t ~~ ...\~ r j: ,). '. .Ji~:~'lr<.h]
<br />l .' <, j~ . r":.:,..1L - :. f -ti .~ ,{,'" >'i~" .l'~ ~i:::<~.'~" '~k. '~l-1
<br />. .it., ".~,,__ ;l..~,_ ""fH., .:_..___~...[. ,,,:;_ L::>..:.: ..:.:..:--........: '"_ ..:L...... __ .'::..t.._ ~l.. ..,....... . ",".', "..... ....l:,:.._' J!." ;... .,J~,.....~ .~
<br />r');"rr, '1r ' ,"r~.-'~m '-r'F,-jr7':-;itt;?[tJr;,;~rF"71r1rl0Fw,'c;T.~";('~~J>']?"'1 t., ':!F'-oJPfl9
<br />
<br />',I' I' '. d 'ill . ...;.. ..f ,.,....,.l..It".,...l.'''. I'.'t.i,... ';'..' ....". '''''...'''' 'i . '.. ".... ,.".,.,..1. .4t.,
<br />:,. f il .::', ;' ,..,," iL' ~~~~. ;~ :;'J '. ':J~',~;:~;~[~;j i'~~;:!';'~!~.,\>"i!'h'-.~l-~;:.~ 11,.. {_~~~ .,'; :;. . 1: ~.l. ,;.'Jf:;:'1i~
<br />r..'';''d.""~,,,t'~' "~";,'~"..-- i;-'""~r---'-"!I'~~'~"'" dt':""'1'[:~1':~-"d~"'~!~-"'~''''''JCjr;:t2~.._Jr:'"",,:''.. ",,;:, ,jlg~~~
<br />
<br />.."..,'...,:,....:Jjl","'.. i,it ',' i;''- L ~:: . r ,ltlt.i ' ~rlv::;\:~~i~~uiiXil1',~biU~rtjrJLJHHrlln[",;~~~1,1~1
<br />
<br />.' ..J > ,'Hit ,. ,1t"';"h'."";,:j(:-:':;F4t. ....t&' ,;:"~~,:~~~-:);.,> \, ,; \> ":""',.!t;.;) 'I
<br />";r'" '- ~~,',,'.:' ,.-' '-'''" _...~ J. ,......t:.,,,,;s,.:..,,._.....,,I......... p,~~::--O ,.....~.~:...~" ,.1; .;-- .'" .',t;...._.H,_;;.:;.:...:;
<br />,-- 11' F..:: ' if' ''':nr' '; '~~ ';[" '~'~~~[']f:7::=-~~rr11 .r,,:" '. ;,'. ',~ :.~'. T:iH
<br />.~ 't 1'.. .1', 1J: ; ~, I- 'C;:~."r:'...:"" j' . '; .~: . ~[,',.jt,
<br />,:: .,' " ., .. ,[ ,I,t :, Ji.: ~~mffiK'."" ., ,', " JI ,,,,Ii .f 'r e' , I:.. ,. h.,....
<br />'. ;1 !: !', I'.. ji, " ;~~I',...J~~~:' 'j'" . If" i 11'j[ jJ;" .-~, ,', i' '; j,..':!:..'...i'.,;.lH
<br />. " 'I"' I' I J" v":.~~,~"1c..::::~'l~ ~" ,'f I' I .' -n ~1... I , ., I'" ."... ~', f,.,t. ..J
<br />." ..: __' ... __ ,c. .." ,,,,,".._. ........,~""'_......~.. '-"....Ch ,J.. ,."~,.,......,,~l._ .I',,' ,.. ...,.__,."....."..,,,~.
<br />[ - T;~ ';-' I; - -.~~...-;~R-l[,:':l""r. "'jl""":-1["ln~~":;r'r-;r-~"'1l'---:11':-' I~ '-"J,' "',1 ,~. "1 ~-' --"7'~"-lP"'JTl
<br />"It -II 'E',:'J~~~ '~~tr"". '11 ",)1',1[( ~r ';;_l~H;'!;-. Ii p II :;; qt'f1
<br />,rlX..l~r-7:"Oir"f.. :.;'JJj, J 1'_" jL.., t,,'ll)l' i, . ,".'J[ 1[., '1 .,J " ~l "'. '1' t. ~:. 'j
<br />,I J,O< ~"-'~=-<::, ~~,";, '''''''~, " j' ." '"..,.", -'.. ..w 11 'If 'j' , I.ll ,', .:' . . ," ' ,I, . i
<br />i~~"---" " ,~ ,.J~ 'rJ .i~ Jl--, 1~"':'Jl-~.i.!t' -.ih "11'lt. ""',' II : -ll l. I' .1 jt
<br />.... ...J j"'h'~ .... ..:"......;;.~.. ..~~....a.~L"r.::..;lJL..dJt.'..)...-- j.....~'..;H.N..ol.~(b.j.....1 Li,;~.,;.(.,~~t...,..:....:~~.. r.:.,~~.......:~;!*..,.....-II_..;,Ju........ _",ll"..,..~i.......~ L........~...~n~.I~...... :l
<br />
<br />o
<br />-1.6 -1.4 .1.~ -1 -0.8 .0.6 .0.4 -0.2, 0 0.2 0.4 0.6 0.8 1 1.2 1.4 1.6 1.8 2 2.2 2.4 2.6 2.8 3 3.2
<br />Gumbel Frequency Factor (Kg) ,
<br />
<br />I .t:. Actual . Predicted - - - Linear (Predicted) _Linear (Actual) I
<br />
<br />Application and Evaluation of CUHP
<br />
<br />Page 17 of 52
<br />
<br />-,^,
<br />
<br />. ~~,
<br />
<br />:~"'.
<br />
|