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<br />The Boxelder Creek watershed, which includes Coal Creek, is <br />approximately 32 miles long, with an average width of 8 miles. <br />Altitudes in the watershed range from 4,860 feet at the confluence <br />with the Cache La Poudre River to 7,720 feet. Geologic formations <br />that are exposed within the watershed consist of rocks and <br />sediments ranging from Precambrian to Quaternary in age. Most of <br />the watershed is covered by irrigated croplands and prairie grass <br />(Reference 4). <br /> <br />The climate in Wellington is typical of the eastern foothills of <br />the Rocky Mountains. The mean annual temperature is 48.0oF, with <br />the warmest month being July at 70.8'F and the coldest month being <br />January at 26.8"F. The average annual precipitation in Wellington <br />is 14.94 inches (Reference 5). <br /> <br />2.3 Principal Flood Problems <br /> <br />Floods have been recorded in the Boxelder Creek watershed on 13 <br />occasions since 1900. On August 1, 1961, a storm with a frequency <br />of 50- to 100-years caused an estimated $76,150 damage in the <br />Wellington vicinity. In May and June 1967, two overlapping 25-year <br />storms caused an estimated $46,100 damage and took four lives in <br />the Wellington vicinity (Reference 4). The most recent flood <br />occurred in June 1967. <br /> <br />2.4 Flood Protection Measures <br /> <br />The SCS has constructed four detention structures in the watersheds <br />above Wellington to reduce the flood discharges on Boxelder Creek <br />and Coal Creek. The reservoirs retain runoff from a combined area <br />of 17 5.5 square miles or 70 percent of the drainage basin. The <br />level of flood protection decreases; however, as the distance below <br />the structures Increases. <br /> <br />3.0 ENGINEERING METHODS <br /> <br />For the flooding sources studied by detailed methods in the community, <br />standard hydrologic and hydraulic study methods were used to determine <br />the flood hazard data required for this study. Flood events of a <br />magnitude which are expected to be equaled or exceeded once on the <br />average during any 10-, 50-, 100-, or SOO-year period (recurrence <br />interval) have been selected as having special significance for <br />floodplain management and for flood insurance rates. These events, <br />commonly termed the 10-, 50-, 100-, and SOD-year floods, have a 10, 2, 1 <br />and 0.2 percent chance, respectively, of being equaled or exceeded <br />during any year. Although the recurrence interval represents the long- <br />term, average period between floods of a specific magnitude, rare floods <br />could occur at short intervals or even within the same year. The risk of <br />experiencing a rare flood increases when periods greater than 1 year are <br />considered. For example, the risk of having a flood which equal s or <br />exceeds the 100-year flood (l percent chance of annual exceedence) in <br />any 50-year period is approximately 40 percent (4 in 10); for any <br />90-year period, the risk increases to approximately 60 percent (6 in <br />10). The analyses reported herein reflect flooding potentials based on <br /> <br />4 <br />