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Last modified
1/25/2010 7:11:17 PM
Creation date
10/5/2006 2:50:36 AM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Floodplain Documents
County
Larimer
Community
Estes Park
Stream Name
Lawn Lake Dam
Basin
South Platte
Title
The Lawn Lake Dam Failure: A Description of the Major Flooding Events
Date
12/1/1982
Prepared For
FEMA
Prepared By
USDOI
Floodplain - Doc Type
Flood Documentation Report
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<br />Bridget's death to lack of information to us, and misjudgment of the <br />magnitude of the situation on her part"[30]. <br /> <br />f. Detection systems. - Lawn Lake Dam was not equipped with instrumen- <br />tation to detect and report dam failure. Very few dams are equipped <br />with remote sensing equipment; however, rapid progress is being made in <br />this field, including methods for transmitting data via ground-based <br />and satellite telemetry. Installing such equipment raises issues such <br />as who should pay for installation and maintenance, and who should be <br />responsible for monitoring and analyzing the transmitted data. <br /> <br />g. Warning dissemination. - There was no written plan for evacuating <br />people from the flood plain which incorporated the use of the local <br />radio station [20, 29]. A reporter from radio station KSIR experienced <br />some difficulty in obtaining up-to-date information from the Estes Park <br />police headquarters [29]. This could have been critical because the <br />interviews conducted by the authors indicated that some flood plain <br />occupants were directed by law enforcement officials to turn their <br />radios on to get additional information. <br /> <br />Discussion <br /> <br />Deciding who to warn. - A description of the area that would be flooded <br />If Lawn Lake/Cascade Lake Dams failed was not available before the flood. <br />The area within which warnings and evacuation orders were given was based <br />upon observations of the flood and its progress downstream. Judging from the <br />fact that there were no fatalities outside the National Park, the warning <br />process' was highly effective. However, the various reports and interviews <br />indicated that a description of the recolllllended evacuation area can be <br />misinterpreted. People generally were evacuated if they were horizontally <br />within 50 feet of the river (in addition, to, the downtown area). However, <br />Park Service documents indicate that initial discussions were to evacuate <br />"up to the 50-foot level above the stream" [9]~. <br /> <br />The most sophisticated engineering teChniques available would not have been <br />able to predict the exact size and timing of the flood as it passed through <br />Horseshoe Park and further on downstream. Although detailed topographic <br />mapping can always be obtained, maps with 40-foot contour intervals were the <br />best that existed for the upper reaches. The depth of overtopping which <br />would cause Cascade Lake Dam to fail, and hence the size of the flood surge <br />and timing could only have been estimated. Detailed information on a micro- <br />scale could not have been accurately developed, even though it has a critical <br />effect on the evacuation plan. <br /> <br />Hydrologists in State and Federal agencies familiar with dam failures <br />expressed surprise over the large magnitude of the flooding that occurred <br />in Estes Park. Prior to the failure, ,Lawn Lake Dam was classified as a <br />significant/moderate hazard dam by the State and Corps of Engineers. This <br />hazard rating means that potential loss of life would be few (Corps) or none <br />(State) due to the lack of urban developments and the small number of <br />inhabitable structures. It is likely that any description of flooding which <br />would be caused by the failure of Lawn Lake Dam, prepared prior to the <br /> <br />10 <br />
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