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<br />benefit can be expressed as reduced likelihood or <br />severity of losses. Quantification of risk and the <br />degree of risk reduction achieved by a dam safety <br />program are necessary if the benefit of such a program <br />is to be demonstrated. <br /> <br />In analyzing choices among alternatives in d~signt <br />inspectiont maintenancet or repair of damst it is seldo <br />necessary to deal with absolute probabilities. What is <br />needed is an assessment of relative or fractional ~isks <br />together with the differences in cost associated with <br />eac~alternative. This greatly facilitates decisions <br />tha~ involve the allocation of limited resources. <br /> <br />On the other handt cost and risk assessments are <br />often controversial. Different parties (owner, <br />downstream resident, and contractor, for example) are <br />affected differently by the outcomes of such <br />assessments. Thus," they tend to assess costs and risks <br />differently, and they may select different criteria on <br />which to base the decision. In light of these <br />conflicts, the main value of such methodologies may be <br />in providing,a framework for organizing factual <br />information about cQstand risk, for structuring the <br />decision making process, and for promoting communicatio <br />among opposing parties. <br /> <br />5.2.2 Conclusions <br /> <br />The federal government should encourage states and <br />dam owners to use risk assessment as a tool for balance <br />resource allocation to mitigate dam failure hazards. <br /> <br />The inspection reports compiled by the Corps of <br />Engineers contain important information about <br />deficiencies that present dangers of dam failures. Thi <br />information could be combined with data about failure <br />consequences in an analysis to identify which dams (for <br />example, in a given jurisdiction) ahould have priority <br />for further investigation or to help in choosing among <br />alternative strategies for providing added protection <br />for a single dam or group of dams. The U.S. government <br />should provide guidance to the statea for such use of <br />the inspection data. <br /> <br />-27- <br />