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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />embankment across the fl oodp 1 ai n causes a severe flow obst ruct ion. Thi s <br />results from its height and the undersized culvert through it. Flow in <br />excess of the cul vert capacity woul d overtop the embankment one-half mil e <br />north of the culvert. One-half of this overtopping flow would return to <br />the Big Dry Creek channel along the reach immediately downstream of the <br />rail road embankment. The remainder would proceed northward over 168th <br />Avenue (the Weld County Line) and would not return to Big Dry Creek within <br />the Study Reach. The flood situation along this reach was modeled in two <br />ways; one representing the existing condition and one representing a <br />possible future condition. The existing situation described above was <br />approximated by distributing the returning flow among those cross sections <br />included in the region of flow return. The second situation mOdeled <br />assumed that the culvert through the embankment would be improved to pass <br />the entire IOO-year flood flow. Both floodplains are illustrated on the <br />plan sheets. The floodplain and floodway data tabulation in Table VII <br />pertain to the latter situation, with the e~ception of the flood discharge <br />and the floodplain elevation, which are tabulated for both situations. <br /> <br />- FUTURE FLOODS - <br /> <br />Flood Frequency and Discharge <br /> <br />The 100-year fl ood is based upon recorded hi stori ca 1 preci pi tat i on and <br />other data and statistically has a one percent chance of being equaled or <br />exceeded during anyone year. Likewise, the IO-year flood has a ten <br />percent chance of being equaled or exceeded during anyone year. The <br />IOO-year flood is also commonly referred to as the base flood, the <br />regulatory flood, and the intermediate regional flood. <br /> <br />The discharge probability profiles in Figure 3 graphically represent the <br />relative magnitudes of the major flood events. This information is useful <br />not only for regulating future floodplain construction but also for <br />planning and engineering of channel improvements, flood protection <br />facilities, and road crossings. <br /> <br />The IOO-year flood is identified by the Urban Drainage and Flood Control <br />Di stri ct, the Colorado Water Conservati on Board and the Federal Emergency <br />Management Agency (FEMA) as the flood magnitude used for the regulation of <br />floodplains and for the design of improvement facilities. However, the <br />UDFCD and FEMA differ in thei r defi nit ions of the IOO-year flood. FEMA <br />uses exi sti ng basi n development for hydrology cal cul ati ons, and the UDFCD <br />uses future basin development. Floodplains mapped by both agencies are <br />based upon the conveyance of floods through the channels, bridges and other <br />facilities as those facilities exist at the time the report is prepared, <br />and do not reflect anticipated improvements, except as noted. In Colorado, <br />the IOO-year floodplain represents an area of state interest as defined in <br />H.B. 1041. <br /> <br />13 <br />