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<br />I <br /> <br />3. FLOOD THREAT RECOGNITION <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />Flood Threat Recognition consists of actions that enable <br />early identification and subsequent monitoring of potential <br />flood situations. The purpose of the flood threat recognition <br />component is to determine if a flood is impending and predict <br />the time of its occurrence and its magnitude. The flood <br />recognition step is vital to a preparedness program because it <br />provides the trigger for putting the warning arrangements into <br />action. Two approaches are available for flood recognition. <br />The one most commonly used is prediction of floods based on <br />precipitation received in upstream areas. The other is <br />prediction of flooding based on observation of upstream water <br />levels. <br /> <br />For the La Junta area, we will use both approaches, or <br />a combination thereof, prediction by the National Weather <br />Service (NWS) of high precipitation and/or the observation of <br />rising water levels around the area, particularly at the Main <br />Street (Colorado State Highway 109) Bridge located in La <br />Junta. <br /> <br />The bridge site at Colorado State Highway 109 is used <br />for observation in order to give the maximum protection to the <br />City of La Junta since it's easily accessible and will include <br />all flows from the drainage areas upstream of La Junta. Figure <br />4 shows the stage information for the State Highway 109 <br />Bridge. <br /> <br />In this section, the roles of the various governmental <br />agencies and the identification of the level of threat are <br />discussed. The recognition may begin with the National Weather <br />Service forecast, or with persons/spotters calling to the La <br />Junta Police/Fire Departments or Otero County Sheriff's <br />Department to report observed conditions. <br /> <br />3. 1 Role of the National Weather Service <br /> <br />The National Weather Service (NWS) Office in Denver is <br />responsible for flood forecasting. Their Denver Office is a 24 <br />hour a day operation. The National Weather Service Office in <br />Pueblo is open from 6 AM to 10 PM seven days a week. When they <br />are closed, the Denver office takes over their flood <br />forecasting responsibilities. In the event of a flood or flash <br />flood, the NWS will provide the weather and forecast <br />information to the La Junta Police Department and the Otero <br />County Sheriff's Department Dispatchers. <br /> <br />The National Weather Service defines floods and flash <br />floods as follows: <br /> <br />1. Floods - slowly evolving overbank flows which are <br />normally caused by water rises due to mountain snowmelt - <br />sometimes augmented by rain at lower elevations. They usually <br />involve gradual river rises and provide a reasonable amount of <br />time for preparing and disseminating watches and warning. <br />These events for La Junta are handled by the National Weather <br />service in Denver, in cooperation with the National Weather <br />Service River Forecast Office in Tulsa, Oklahoma, who has more <br />hydrologic expertise, computer power and modeling capability. <br />In addition, for a flood event, usually, sufficient time is <br />available to produce good forecasts of future river crests and <br />times. <br /> <br />I <br /> <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />6 <br /> <br />~ The National Weather <br />Service in Denver <br />provides weather <br />information to the <br />Otero County area. <br />