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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />9 <br /> <br />- FUTURE FLOODS - <br /> <br />A detailed description of the hydrologic analysis is available <br /> <br /> <br />at the offices of the Urban Drainage & Flood Control District. <br /> <br />Flood Frequency and Discharge <br /> <br /> <br />Floods of the same and greater magnitude as those that have oc- <br /> <br /> <br />curred in the past will occur in the future. With the planned <br /> <br /> <br />development in the basins, flooding will occur more frequently. <br /> <br /> <br />The discharges reported on Figures 7 and 8 for the 10-, 50- and <br /> <br /> <br />100-year flood frequencies represent the relative extent and <br /> <br /> <br />impact of each flood event. The discharge information is usable <br /> <br /> <br />not only for flood plain regulation but also for planning, engi- <br /> <br /> <br />neering and flood plain improvement. <br /> <br />Hydraulic Analysis <br /> <br />Hydraulic analyses of each stream were completed to determine <br /> <br /> <br />the water surface elevations for the 100-year storm event. <br /> <br /> <br />The elevations were compiled using the Corps of Engineers' HEC-2 <br /> <br /> <br />Water Surface Profiles computer program. Valley cross sections <br /> <br /> <br />were measured on the 1" ; 100' scale, 2-foot contour topographic <br /> <br /> <br />mapping provided by the District. Estimates of channel and over <br /> <br /> <br />bank roughness factors were made after field investigation of the <br /> <br /> <br />study area. Typical roughness, or Manning's "n" values used in <br /> <br />this study are: <br /> <br />channel - .030 to .040 <br />over bank - .035 to .050 <br /> <br />The 100-year flood event, which can be expected to occur at any <br /> <br /> <br />time in a given area, based upon recorded historical precipitation <br /> <br /> <br />and other valid data, has a one percent chance of being equalled <br /> <br /> <br />or exceeded during anyone year. The 100-year flood event pro- <br /> <br /> <br />vides a lower risk of failure than the 10-year or SO-year flood <br /> <br /> <br />event, when considering structural flood plain improvements. <br /> <br />The computed flood profiles are plotted on the Flood Hazard <br /> <br /> <br />Area Delineation Map Drawings. Also, the computed flood elevations for <br /> <br /> <br />Piney Creek, Cottonwood Creek, Lone Tree Creek and Murphy Creek <br /> <br /> <br />are tabulated at each reference point in Tables 6, 7, 8 and 9, <br /> <br /> <br />respectively. <br /> <br />The 100-year flood event is considered by the Urban Drainage & <br /> <br /> <br />Flood Control District, The Colorado Water Conservation Board <br /> <br /> <br />and the Federal Insurance Administration as the flood magnitude <br /> <br /> <br />for which flood plains should be designated for regulatory and <br /> <br /> <br />improvement purposes. In Colorado, the 100-year flood plain <br /> <br /> <br />represents an area of state interest as defined in H.B. 1041. <br /> <br />Detailed information on the hydraulic calculations is available <br /> <br /> <br />from the Urban Drainage and Flood Control District. <br /> <br />The 10- and SO-year recurrence flood magnitudes have also been <br /> <br /> <br />calculated at various design points along the four creeks. These <br />