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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />IV. <br /> <br />SUMMARY OF PHASE A ANALYSIS <br /> <br />As was discussed at the outset of this report, the Major Drainageway Planning <br />Study for Direct Flow Area 0054 transpired in two phases. During the initial phase, <br />Phase A, the consulting team gathered information, formulated and evaluated various <br />alternatives, and recommended a plan to alleviate flood hazards in the Direct Flow Area <br />Basin. Upon completion of the study, the sponsors and representatives from the Urban <br />Drainage and Flood Control District, Adams County, and the City of Thornton evaluated <br />the recommendations, and directed the consultants in the preliminary design of their <br />selected plan, which culminates in this, the Phase B Report. The following is a synopsis of <br />the work completed in the Phase A portion of the study. <br /> <br />Flood Plains and Flood Damage <br /> <br />Urban Drainage and Flood Control projects are presently evaluated by comparing <br />amortized improvement costs with the average annual flood damage costs. The magnitude <br />of flood damages and costs for flood control improvements are directly dependent upon <br />estimates of flood flows and limits of the respective flOOdplains. Given the flood <br />hydrographs for floods in a range of recurrence intervals, dollar amounts for flood damage <br />and costs for implementing preventative measures are estimated based on an analysis of <br />the existing hydraulic conditions. <br /> <br />Analyses of the hydraulic characteristics of DFA 0054 and its tributaries were <br />performed to provide estimates of the water surface elevations of each of the design <br />floods for the existing channel conditions. A total of approximately 6.3 miles of channel <br />was included in the analysis; however, only 2.4 miles was included in the Phase A study. <br />All floodplains are delineated by routing the peak flood flow through the channel and <br />calculating the depth of flow in the channel and adjacent floodplain. The depth of a flood, <br />or water surface elevation, is directly related to the conveyance characteristics of the <br />channel and floodplains: channel geometry, roughness, longitudinal slope, and presence of <br />obstructions such as culverts, houses and large trees. <br /> <br />Water surface profiles and floodplains were computed using the most recent version <br />of the U. S. Army Corps of Engineers HEC-2 computer program, Reference E. Cross- <br />sections were digitized when the topographic maps were compiled and have been aug- <br />mented by field surveys at culverts. Locations of the cross-sections appear on the <br />Drawings, but a more detailed description of the 100-year floodplain is contained in the <br />Flood Hazard Area Delineation Report. <br /> <br />Channel roughness coefficients (Manning's "n" values) for these computations were <br />assigned on the basis of field inspection of the floodplain areas. Hydraulic losses through <br />cul verts on Direct Flow Area 0054 were determined with the use of nomographs publiShed <br />by the Bureau of Public Roads, Reference M, and input into HEC-2 program. The <br />structural integrity of existing culverts, street embankments, detention dams and other <br />channel features has not been evaluated in this analysis. <br /> <br />Computed water surface profiles and the floodplain delineation for the 100-year, <br />future basin conditions event are shown in the Flood Hazard Area Delineation Report, at <br />1" = 200' scale. The original mylar FHAD drawings at a scale of 1" = 100' are on file with <br />the Urban Drainage and Flood Control District. <br /> <br />Structural damage was determined by estimating replacement costs for utilities, <br />roads, culverts, and so forth. For residential structures, flood damage was estimated by <br />taking the property valuation obtained from local developers and then applying a damage <br />factor according to the difference in the flood depth and the first floor elevation of the <br />structure. The damage factors were obtained from curves published by the Federal <br />Insurance Administration, Reference F. As a result of the flood which occurred on May 2, <br />1979, these curves were modified to reflect less damage than is indicated by the curves <br />when the flood elevations are lower than the first floor elevation of the structures. <br />Content damage for residential structures was estimated by applying similar depth related <br />damage factors to 50% of the estimated structural value. <br /> <br />Other "damages" occur during a flood which are not so easily quantified. Probably <br />the most significant hazards associated with the occurance of a flood are the threats to <br />the health, both physical and emotional, and safety of people. Additionally, there are <br />flood "damages" which result from inconvenience: interruption of traffic flows, <br />obstruction of emergency vehicle movement, and interruption of domestic services. <br />Further, there is destruction of floodplain ecology, and parks and recreational <br />opportunities. These intangibles have been quantified in this analysis by increasing the <br />direct flood damage estimates by 30%. <br /> <br />For each design flood, the dollar amounts of flood damage were plotted against the <br />exceedence probability (inverse of the return period) by reach. These plots illustrated <br />where the bulk of potential flood damages occur. In the lower reaches of DFA 0054, <br />heavy flood damages result from the more frequent floods. This indicates minor channel <br />capacity. In Reaches 3 and 4, flood damages rise only in the less frequent floods. <br /> <br />nT-I <br />