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<br />and 2 refer to different points in time.) Loss rates were developed as functions <br />of the percent of man-made impervious areas; and contributing drainage areas <br />were modified over time because of changes in drainage patterns due to highway <br />construction and channel realignment. <br />Since three storm events and their resulting Ilood hydrographs were utilized <br />in the calibration process, it was a relatively simple matter to use these events <br />to reconstruct flood hydrographs for prior land.use conditions in the basin. <br />Modifying the necessary parameters, as previously cited, the hydrologic responses <br />to the three storm events were simulated for past conditions. The results for <br />one event are shown in Fig. I and the peak discharge rates for all three events <br />are plotted versus time in Fig. 2(a). <br />Because of the wide spatial and temporal variation in precipitation aod in <br />the loss rate functions adopted for the specific storm events analyzed, the rate <br />of change of peak discharge with urbanization, as rellected by the slope of <br />the curves in Fig. 2(a), could he significantly dirferent for other rainfall events <br />(distributions) producing nearly the same peak runoff under existing conditions. <br />Since the curves are approximately parallel, representative (synthetic) rainrall <br /> <br /> ... <br /> ,.. <br /> 100 <br />~ <br /> eo <br />.. <br />::,.. .. <br />o' <br />, <br />~ " <br />o. <br /> 20 <br /> <br />0, '" fI"ardld JNlak d1schar" 10'0 .p.c.f~d <br />,.a"l <br />EIlAklPLE: <br />R"ordod P"_ dlleharte1n '940~1I40d <br />011,70 -Olt.o <br />01"0 lC tOO~41.2 <br /> <br />01$70-1680ch <br /> <br />------~- <br />, I~ <br /> <br />~ <br /> <br />o <br />'" <br /> <br />'. <br />PEAll OISCHARGE ( eh 1 <br /> <br />,,.0 <br /> <br />FIG. 3.-Rlte of Ching I of Peak Dischlrge with Time <br /> <br />events were developed to determine the adjustment of peak discharge rates <br />for urbanization. <br />An analysis of the rainfall estimates contained in Ref. 8 for the study area <br />indicates that a general and systematic method exists for simulating tbe rainfall <br />pattern for numerous events given any single event. By taking ratios of the <br />rainfanamounts for various durations (3O-min, l-hr, 3-hr, 6-hr, 12-hr, and 24-hr) <br />of a specific recurrence interval, the rainfall amounts for respective durations <br />of different recurrence intervals can be determined within reasonable limits. <br />As an example of this procedure, a 2-yr storm pattern can be developed from <br />a 50-yr pattern according to <br /> <br />R, <br />(P,), = (P,)..- . . <br />R" <br /> <br />. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . (3) <br /> <br />in which P = storm rainfall amount for a specified duration, in inches; i = <br />duration interval, in hours; R = total storm rainfall for a 24.hr period, in inches; <br /> <br />3 <br />