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<br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />The 8th Street bridge was recoded based on your surveys. All <br />of the possible access points for water to enter the downtown <br />area were surveyed. The water surface elevations in that <br />area were compared to possible access points into downtown, <br />and only two points were found to be low enough for water to <br />pass through under 100 year flooding conditions (64,000 <br />cfs). Rating curves were calculated for those two access <br />points. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Using the revised HEC-2 data and the rating curves, the <br />amount of water flowing down the channel, through the left <br />overbank (Lower East Side area), and through the right over- <br />bank diversion access points was calculated for flows ranging <br />from 47,000 cfs to 64,000 cfs. At 47,000 cfs, the right bank <br />diversion was found to total approximately 510 cfs. At <br />64,000 cfs it was found to total approximately 1905 cfs. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Comments on Methodology and Results <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />The methodology used by MSM appears reasonable to us. <br />The rating curves assumed rectangular cross sections at the <br />two access points, and the calculations were correct. The <br />HEC-2 elevations were comparable to the results of the Army <br />Corps of Engineers for channel elevations. Given the rela- <br />tively shallow flows entering the downtown area (1 to 3 feet) <br />we feel that MSM's approach of selecting particular diversion <br />points is more refined than the Army Corps of Engineers' <br />approach of extending cross sections from the channel west <br />into the downtown area. With the accuracy of topographic <br />mapping being on the order of half the contour interval, <br />flooding of 1 to 3 feet can easily be estimated incorrectly <br />if diversion cross sections are estimated from mapping rather <br />than field surveys. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Since the intent of this phase of analysis was not to <br />consider potential flooding on the east side of Fountain <br />Creek, we will not comment on the results for that area at <br />this time. However, we would like to note that we continue <br />to have serious concerns about that area and its potential <br />for flood damages, and we trust that everyone involve0 at the <br />ci ty, state, and federal levels will be able to arr ive at a <br />reasonable delineation of the flood potential of that over- <br />bank area. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Based on our review of MSM's work, it appears reasonable <br />to assume that overbank flow into the downtown area from a <br />100 year flood on Fountain Creek would be on the order of <br />2000 cfs rather than the approximately 5000 cfs previously <br />calculated for the Flood Insurance Study. However, it should <br />be noted that these calculations are based on the assumption <br />that there will be no blockage at the 8th Street bridge which <br />is not a natural condition during a flood event. The <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />2 <br /> <br />.. <br />