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<br />a unique optimum are less than with an objective function that varies regularly <br />(termed well-behaved). Results of applications to date suggest that the objective <br />function is reasonably well-behaved and that unique solutions do in fact come <br />out of the procedure, However, note that this particular methodology (univariate <br />gradient procedure) does not guarantee that the true optimum (global optimum) <br />is achieved. However, the derived system will be very near optimum for the <br />component sizes in the general order of magnitude of the initial component <br />sizes, A study methodology that considers that local optimums may occur; e.g., <br />testing a few starting values would be appropriate, <br /> <br />" <br /> <br />APPlICATION TO URBAN fLOOD-CoNTROL PROJECT <br /> <br />Ii <br /> <br />The technique was developed for the United States Army Engineer District, <br />St. Louis, Mo" for use in plan formulation studies for the Harding Ditch unit <br />of the East St. Louis and Vicinity, Interior Flood Control Project. The District <br />desired a technique that would enable automatically determining the scales of <br />flood-control system components comprising three to four reservoirs, a diversion, <br />and one to two pumping plants. The development work had proceeded well <br />so that when it became necessary for the District to perform additional analysis <br />of a unit of the project that had previously been studied, an application of <br />the technique was undertaken to assist the studies and provide for testing, <br />The area studied was the Blue Waters Ditch unit of the project that encompasses <br />approx 9,000 acres of the American Bottoms area, The area consists of a number <br />. of smaller and a few major communities. A few drainage canals and levee <br />segments exist and the lower (outlet) end of the area is protected by major <br />levees of the Mississippi River system necessitating that most flood flows be <br />pumped from the basin, Fig, 5 is a schematic of the system. <br />Previous studies had defined two detention storage sites and a pumping facility <br />as potential system components. The technique was applied to determine the <br />best size of the pumping facility and detention storage areas for a range of <br />storage site characteristics, project discount rates, assumed economic conditions, <br />and performance standards. A major objective of the study was to determine <br />the sensitivity of the component scales to assumed flood-plain land-use controls. <br />This was accomplished by optimizing the sizes of the components for: (I) No <br />target degree of protection and economic flow-damage functions prepared for <br />damage potential as it existed in 1973; (2) economic flow-damage functions <br />reflecting uncontrolled future growth; and (3) for a reasonably controlled future <br />growth compatible with the flood-control system, Optimization of the component <br />sizes was then repeated for the same sets of data for a target degree of protection <br />of IOO-yr exceedence interval. The sensitivity of the system to detention site <br />characteristics was examined by altering the reservoir elevation-storage and <br />reservoir storage-cost functions and optimizing. The sensitivity to the project <br />discount rate was examined by optimizing the component sizes for one of the <br />previously studied conditions for three discount rates. <br />The results of the studies are preliminary and should be considered as a <br />test application of the methodology rather than the final results of the formulation <br />studies for Blue Waters. However, the studies were a real component of the <br />plan formulation and evaluation strategy and the results presented in Table <br />1 are not a selected case study. The solutions were sufficiently promising that <br />