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<br />9.0 REVISIONS DESCRIPTION <br /> <br />9.1 First Revision <br /> <br />This study was revised on July 4, 1989, to incorporate the effects <br />of revised hydrologic and hydraulic analyses on the base (lOa-year) <br />flood elevat ions (BFEs) and floodplain boundaries for port ions of <br />Bear Creek and North Turkey Creek, in the unincorporated areas of <br />Jefferson County, Colorado. <br /> <br />The report, entitled "Alternate Hydrologic Analysis for the Flood <br />Insurance Study for the Unincorporated Areas of Jefferson County, <br />Colorado," prepared by Messrs D.M. Thomas and John F. Miller, for <br />FEMA, was utilized as the basis for the revised hydrologic analysis <br />on Bear Creek and North Turkey Creek. The revised hydraulic <br />analyses, completed in March 1988, were performed by Michael Baker, <br />Jr., Inc., as the Technical Evaluation Contractor for FEMA. <br /> <br />The extent of the revi sed detailed study for Bear Creek and North <br />Turkey Creek is as follows: <br /> <br />1. Approximately 8.4 miles of Bear Creek, including the reach at <br />Id1edale, the reach from Kittredge to Evergreen, and the reach <br />upstream of Evergreen Lake. These detailed study reaches are <br />separated by reaches of approximate study and are therefore <br />noncontinuous. <br /> <br />2. Approximately 6.9 miles of North Turkey Creek, from Danks <br />Drive to the upstream limit of detailed study. <br /> <br />The above-referenced report by Messrs Thomas and Miller recommends <br />mathematical relations for estimating the magnitude and frequency <br />of flood flows on streams draining more than 15 square miles in <br />Jefferson County, Colorado. A least square, linear multiple <br />regression analysis defined the recommended relations from data on <br />the floodflow, physical, and climatic characteristics observed at <br />27 sample sites in the South Platte River basin in Colorado. <br /> <br />Basic data for the 27 sites were taken from U.S. Geological Survey <br />(USGS) reports. The regression analysis utilized "composite curve" <br />values which were determined by statistically combining individual <br />flood frequency curves of snowmelt and rainfall floods. The <br />regression equations utilize three independent basin parameters; <br />total drainage area, normal annual precipitation, and mean drainage <br />basin elevation. The equations developed in this study may be used <br />to estimate flood peak magnitude and frequency at ungaged sites in <br />Jefferson County with consideration given to their capabilities and <br />limi tations. <br /> <br />46 <br />