<br />meteorological conditions associated with a flash
<br />flood over many spatial and temporal scales,
<br />In the following sections we present a meteorologi-
<br />cal overview of the FCL flood, First, a discussion of
<br />the climatology of extreme rainfall events in Colorado
<br />is presented in section 2, Section 3 discusses rain gauge
<br />data and presents accumulated rainfall totals for the
<br />entire 2-day event (e.g" 27-28 July 1997), as well as
<br />the 6-h time period encompassing the flash flood.
<br />Section 4 presents an overview of the synoptic envi-
<br />ronment, followed in section 5 by a presentation of
<br />surface mesoanalyses, Section 6 summarizes the
<br />preconditioning of the large-scale environment and
<br />subsequent triggering of convection over FCL.
<br />Multiparameter and dual-Doppler radar observations
<br />including radar estimates of accumulated rainfall are
<br />described in section 7.
<br />
<br />2. Climatology of extreme rain events
<br />in Colorado
<br />
<br />The Fort Collins flood occurred in a synoptic en-
<br />vironment that is commonly associated with severe
<br />weather in northeastern Colorado (Doswell 1980),
<br />and during a time of year when extreme weather
<br />events are expected in northeastern Colorado (yY eaver
<br />and Doesken 1990), Indeed, even in the semiarid cli-
<br />'~-of Colorado, extreme rainfall events with local
<br />lliIlIIIitrlds exceeding 4 in, in less than 24 h occur several
<br />~ each year somewhere in the state, However,
<br />Mms producing greater than 10 in, of rain are rare,
<br />A recent climatological investigation of extreme pre-
<br />cipitation events in Colorado (McKee and Doesken
<br />1997) showed a distinct tendency for the largest events
<br />recorded during the twentieth century to occur at or
<br />near the eastern base of the Rocky Mountains, ex-
<br />tending from the lower foothills eastward onto the
<br />western fringe of the Great Plains, Prior to July of
<br />1997, there had been seven documented storms this
<br />century that produced at least 10 in, of rain within
<br />24 h, Several other Front Range storms have produced
<br />excessive rainfall but at lower rates and over longer
<br />periods of time, For example, an early May storm in
<br />1969 produced close to 15 in, of precipitation over
<br />a 4-day period in the mountains and foothills imme-
<br />diately northwest of Denver (Fig. 2), The most pub-
<br />licized of Colorado's extreme rainfall events is the
<br />Big Thompson storm (e.g" Maddox et al. 1978;
<br />Caracena et ai, 1979) of 31 July 1976 (Fig, 2), a can-
<br />yon flash flood that resulted in 139 confirmed fatali-
<br />
<br />194
<br />
<br />ties and a list of seven additional missing persons
<br />(Gruntfest 1996),
<br />Based on an examination of more than 300 of
<br />Colorado's heaviest precipitation events since the late
<br />1800s, the vast majority of these events were found
<br />to occur between mid-April and mid-October but with
<br />a double peaked distribution. The first peak occurs late
<br />in May and early June, associated with synoptic-scale
<br />quasi-stationary late spring storms. These storms carry
<br />moisture from the Gulf of Mexico and the Mississippi
<br />Valley westward to the Front Range of the Rockies
<br />(Fig, 2), where it typically falls as widespread pre-
<br />cipitation of moderate intensity with localized convec-
<br />tive and orographic enhancement The maximum
<br />precipitation from these storms is typically found
<br />along the eastern foothills of the Rockies, A distinct
<br />lull in the frequency of extreme rainfall events occurs
<br />from late June into Jnly, This is followed by the sec-
<br />ond and greater peak in storm frequency from late July
<br />extending into early September with a pronounced
<br />maximum frequency from the last week of July into
<br />the first few days of August These summer storms
<br />are highly convective, often small in areal extent,
<br />and have occurred in nearly all parts of Colorado.
<br />However, the greatest of these, in terms of maximum
<br />rainfall, have occurred east of the mountains and of-
<br />ten near the eastern foothills of the Rockies, The FCL
<br />storm of 28 July 1997 fits very neatly within this cli-
<br />matological description.
<br />
<br />3. Rain gauge measurements of
<br />accumulated rainfall for the FCL flood
<br />
<br />Immediately following the 27-28 July FCL events,
<br />the Colorado Climate Center began an extensive ef-
<br />fort to document the rainfall (e,g" Figs, 3a,b), Using
<br />radio, newspaper, and broadly distributed electronic
<br />mail requests in combination with traditional door-to-
<br />door and phone surveys, rainfall reports were solicited
<br />from all possible sources. In all, more than 300 rain-
<br />fall reports were gathered, 90% of which were based
<br />on rain gauge measurements, As much information as
<br />possible was gathered for each rain report including
<br />gauge type, exposure, observing procedures, latitude
<br />and longitude of the gauge location, and any additional
<br />human observations to supplement the gauge measure-
<br />ments, Upon completion of data gathering activities,
<br />gauge locations and amounts deemed highly reliable
<br />(110 reports for the night of 28 July; 209 reports for
<br />the two-day event, 27-28 July) were plotted on a map
<br />
<br />Vol, 80, No.2, February 1999
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