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. Engineering noted that predicated variations in basin precipitation with the occurrence of EI Nino, La Nina and neutral conditions of the subtropical Ocean. Other Hydro-climate indices such as the Southern Oscillations (SOl), North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) and the Atlantic Multi-Decadal Oscillation (AMO) also appear to be related to basin average precipitation. Each river basin appears to be impacted by one or more of each of the indices but aU of the basins have different hydro-climate precipitation relationships. Phase I of this project created a database of monthly and annual basin average precipitation form 1950 - 2004 for each of the 8 river basins. It also created a database for the monthly hydro-climate indices (MEI, SOl, NAO, PD~, and AMO). This database will then be used to develop prediction relationships for Water Year basin precipitation to each of the hydro- climate indices. Phase I was to develop the databases and was contracted for by the CWCB Flood Protection Program. Using the databases developed in Phase I for the eight major basins we seek to provide specific average precipitation and volume runoff values, this project will compile data for the hydro-climate indices known as the ME!, PD~, NAO, SOl, and the AMO. Phase II of this project wiU define the relationships between these hydro-climate indices and the basin average precipitation, and the basin-specific volume runoff for aU of the eight basins. Phase II includes wet and dry cycle predictions/outlooks for upcoming water years regarding basin specific precipitation and runoff predictions. Phase III of this project will prepare a hydro-climate based trend predictions/outlooks of the basin specific water year precipitation and estimate runoff and the related forecast of the monthly average temperature and precipitation for the consecutive water years, which will define the wet and dry cycles within these trends. Cost estimates are: This request is for Phase II ($81,000) and Phase III ($18,000) for a total of $99,000. . Water Planning Relationship: The CWCB works on administration of the Colorado and Arkansas River Compacts. The absence of any detailed long-term climate outlook poses problems for state and federal officials that work cooperatively to operate larger federal reservoirs for a variety of uses. A detailed analysis and precipitation outlooks based on relationships of climate indices will assist officials in water planning from six months to two years out. Recommendation: Staff gives a high Tecommendation for funding of this project because of the importance to water supply protection, flood protection and water resource managers. 8. Federal Emergency Management Agency (FEMA) Coordinator Matching Program Beneficiary/Grantee/Contractor: CWCB, Local Water Planners Amount of Request: $30,000 Ranking: High Product Produced: The Community Assistance Program (CAP) is a product-oriented financial assistance program directly related to the flood loss reduction objectives of the National Flood Insurance Program (NFIP). States and communities that are participating in the NFlP are eligible for this assistance. The CAP is intended to identifY, prevent, and resolve floodplain management issues in participating communities before they develop into problems requiring enforcement action. In Colorado, the program is based on a 75:25 (federal to non-federal) cost-share basis and has been in existence for over 20 years. This program has been very effective in helping communities to understand and realize the benefits of the NFIP and to assist in making sure that they follow the program guidelines for the highest benefits. Water Planning Relationship: This work fits in centrally with the CWCB's mission of helping to protect Colorado's citizens from flooding damages, as floodplains are defined as areas of statewide interest. This coordinator position helps provide long-term benefits in the terms of greater flood awareness and reduced flood damages and susceptibility. 19