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<br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />~I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />Impact of Tamarisk Infestation on the <br />Water Resources of Colorado <br />May 30, 2003 <br /> <br />Why these discrepancies? The likely reason for this information gap is two-fold. Many county <br />weed managers serve many different functions and simply did not have the time to develop an <br />inventory and/or tamarisk and Russian-olive were not recognized as a problem. Based on a good <br />approximation of the inventory using anecdotal information (e.g., personal observations, <br />discussions with weed managers) and the more detailed information that the Corps of Engineers <br />has developed, a reasonable approximation of the acreage that is currently infested with tamarisk <br />and Russian-olive is 50% higher than that reported. Thus, the estimated infestation used within <br />this report is 42,000 acres for tamarisk and 15,000 for Russian-olive, or a total of 57,000 acres. <br />Infestations occur on every major river drainage in the state with the exception of the North <br />Platte. <br /> <br />Another question is the rate of invasiveness that will likely occur into the future. Zimmerman <br />(1997) estimates that the rate of spread could be as high as 5 percent per year. This seems high <br />for Colorado where the higher elevations do not offer tamarisk much competitive advantage. <br />However, there are river systems, particularly the South Platte and Republican and the tributaries <br />to the Arkansas in which tamarisk has a foothold and could spread rapidly. Figure 3 presents the <br />predicted acreage occupied by tamarisk and Russian-olive over the next 50 years based on a <br />modest growth rate of 1 percent per year and a moderate growth rate of 2.5 percent per year. <br />What is notable about this information is that tamarisk and Russian-olive infestations are <br />predicted to jump to between 90,000 acres and 200,000 acres during this 50 year time frame if m <br />active control program is put into place. These are considered to be conservative estimates. <br /> <br />Photographs of typical tamarisk infestations are presented in Figures 4 through 11. <br /> <br />Research Need - A more accurate means of inventorying is required to identify <br />location, density, and mass of tamarisk and Russian-olive in comparison to native <br />species. The survey should rely on the physiological characteristics of the non- <br />native plants; previous studies; historic records; and personal knowledge from <br />county weed managers, state weed coordinator, state agriculture specialists, federal <br />weed managers, university researchers, etc. Based on the historic progression of <br />tamarisk over the past 100 years and the physiological constraints of tamarisk and <br />other non-native phreatophytes, future areas of infestation should be predicted for the <br />next 50 years. <br /> <br />6 <br />