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<br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />J. William McDonald <br />Page 5 <br /> <br />ceedings in the four affected divisions, nor in any other <br />reserved rights proceeding. <br /> <br />While the foreging alludes to the costs and problems of a trial, <br />I believe, in addition, that the Board should weigh carefully the <br />possible outcomes of such a trial. <br /> <br />Obviously, there is no need to discuss the consequences of a <br />decision favorable to the State. However, as I understand that <br />you estimate the likelihood of success as at best 50/50, we need <br />to discuss the downside of an adverse decision. <br /> <br />First of all, in my opinion, if you don't think you will like the <br />answer, it is better not to ask the question. An adverse deci- <br />sion in Water Division 1 will also bind Divisions 2, 3, and 7. <br />With a victory under its belt, the Forest Service will be much <br />less willing to subordinate its rights or otherwise accommodate <br />the unique circumstances of individual water users, as it will <br />have no incentive to do so. please bear in mind that the Forest <br />Service has not yet quantified its claims in Divisions 2 and 7, <br />and is legally entitled to locate its quantification points at <br />the forest boundary. In addition, there will be no accommodation <br />of future dev~lopment needs in an adjudic~tion. T~is is of par- <br />ticular concern in those drainages where there is significant <br />potential for development due to substantial private inholdings, <br />or where the ~~nd use patterns are such that the fo:est is below <br />or Surrounds land in private ownership. <br /> <br />Even if we prevail at trial on a test case, proceedings on appeal <br />will require at least 2 to 4 additional years. A loss on appeal <br />will mean that water users in all four affected divisions will be <br />faoing quantification proceedings to determine the amount of <br />water reasonably necessary for channel maintenance purposes at <br />the quantification points selected by the Forest Service. While <br />the Division 1 case is winding its way through the courts, the <br />Forest Service will have ample time to refine its methodology 'and <br />strengthen its technical case, placing itself in a decidedly <br />stronger position in subsequent quantification proceedings. <br /> <br />The change in administration tbis coming January is another <br />factor to be weighed, as both candidates have called for stronger <br />environmental protections. A settlement is best explored now, <br />while the Justice Department and Forest Service have been <br />instructed by the Reagan Administration to cooperate as much as <br />possible with state government. <br />