BOARD01350

• Board Meeting Date: 1/24/2006
• Description: WSP Section - Colorado River Issues - Development of Opearations for Lakes Powell and Mead under Low Reservoir Conditions, including the Development of Lower Basin Shortage Criteria
• Board Meetings - Doc Type: Memo

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MOdeling of Reservoir Management Strategies
for Lakes Powell and Mead

Figure~-t9
Probabilil)' of l,ake :\lead t:Jc\"ation Below 1050

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Figure 4-19 shows the probability of Lake Mead dropping below 1050 fl. This probability is lowest
under Hybrid rev I which includes a Lake Mead balancing elevation of 1100 n. Aller 2016 this
probability is lower under all the Hybrid strategies compared to the Nanna\.

Figun' ..$-20

Prohahilit~. of I.ake I'owell Elevation HeIO\\ 3570

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Working Draft. Version 2. January. 2006