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<br />Table 1: Data
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<br />Party Date 0 250%-40% Summer e3/3) Winter (2/3)
<br />BLM 7/9/98 0.32 0.8 - 0.1 2. <)DT 0.7
<br />
<br />BLM = Bureau of Land Management (I) Predicted flow outside of the accuracy range of Manning's Equation.
<br />? = Criteria never met in R2CROSS Staging Table.
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<br />Biologic Flow Recommendations
<br />The BLM recommended a 1.7 and 0.4 cfs summer flow and a 0.3 cfs winter flow based on their
<br />July 9th, 1998, data collection effort and water availability analysis. CWCB staff has reviewed
<br />the data collected by the BLM. The summer flow recommendation, which meets 3 of 3 criteria
<br />but falls outside the accuracy range of the R2CROSS model, is 2.9 cfs. CWCB staff believes that
<br />summer flow recommendations that fall outside of the accuracy of the model above 250% of the
<br />measured discharge may overestimate the required summer flow. The winter flow
<br />recommendation, which meets 2 of 3 criteria and is within the accuracy of the R2CROSS model,
<br />is 0.7 cfs.
<br />
<br />The BLM has indicated that this is a very high priority stream segment to them. However,
<br />because the summer recommendation falls outside of the accuracy range of the R2CROSS
<br />model, staff believes that more data needs to be collected to accurately predict the summer flow
<br />recommendation. In the mean time, staff believes that it would be appropriate for the Board to
<br />file on a year-round flow of 0.7 cfs, the winter flow recommendation, thus giving JQS some
<br />water right protection until additional data can be collected. Staff has consulted with the
<br />Colorado Division of Wildlife and believes 0.7 cfs will be sufficient to protect the natural
<br />environment to a reasonable degree until additional data can be collected.
<br />
<br />Hydrologic Data
<br />
<br />After receiving the cooperating agencies' biologic flow recommendation, the CWCB staff
<br />conducted an evaluation of the stream hydrology to determine if water was physically available
<br />for an instream flow appropriation. The hydro graph was derived from data collected by the
<br />USGS stream gage for East Fork Parachute Creek near Anvil Points eID #09092960), which has
<br />a drainage area of 14.5 square miles (see Gage Summary in Appendix C). The period of record
<br />for this gage is 1976 to 1983, the period ofrecord used by staff in their analysis was 1976-1983,
<br />or seven years of record. The estimated drainage area of JQS Gulch upstream of Golden Castle
<br />Gulch is approximately 1.8 square miles. Table 2 below displays the estimated flow of JQS
<br />Gulch at the confluence with Golden Castle Gulch, in terms of a percentage of exceedence. The
<br />blue shading highlights how often the year-round flow recommendation has been available.
<br />
<br />Table 2: JOS Gulch at confluence w/Gotden Castle Gutch - Original Flow
<br />
<br />Exceedences Januarv Februarv March Amil Mav June Julv Aunust Se"tember October November December
<br />1% 0.17 0,26 0.43 8,11 34.86 29.41 1.84 0.73 0,38 0,34 0.22 0,14
<br />5% 0,16 0,16 0.36 6.02 21,12 8,19 0,98 0,57 0.29 0.23 0.16 0.12
<br />10% 0,12 0.14 0,34 4.59 15,10 4.34 0.79 0.42 0.24 0,19 0,15 0,12
<br />20% 0.09 0.11 0,25 2.23 11,79 2.61 0.57 0,29 0.17 0.15 0.14 0.11
<br />50% 0.08 0.09 0,12 0.73 4.90 0.91 0.32 0.19 0.12 0.12 0,11 0.08
<br />80% 0,05 0,06 0.10 0,24 0.37 0.17 0,12 0.06 0,04 0.09 0,08 0,06
<br />90% 0,05 0.05 0,09 0,14 0.16 0,08 0,03 0.04 0,03 0.05 0,06 0.05
<br />95% 0.05 0,05 0.07 0.11 0,12 0.04 0.02 0.01 0.03 0,04 0.05 0,05
<br />99% 0,04 0,04 0.06 0.10 0.11 0.04 0.Q1 0.01 0.02 0,04 0.05 0.05
<br />
<br />Table 2 shows that the summer and winter recommendation of 0.7 cfs is available 50% of the
<br />time for the months of April though June, 10% of the time in July and 1 % of the time in August.
<br />Based on the above water availability analysis and the requirement of the CWCB staff to balance
<br />the needs of mankind with a reasonable preservation of the natural environment the
<br />recommended summer and winter flow of 0.7 cfs was reduced further. Staff recommends that
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