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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:28:53 PM
Creation date
10/1/2006 2:17:08 PM
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Template:
Weather Modification
Contract/Permit #
#95-1
Applicant
Western Weather Consultants
Project Name
Vail/Beaver Creek
Date
11/1/1995
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Application
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<br />..._w_. <br /> <br />.~ -, ,""'" -~ . " <br /> <br />, <br />L-.Gt;I.~I~[~o. l-~~C].~_Q..t. .PF~oir~ft. AL1GXENTJf!lON IN TilE e..AN JuAN MOUNTAINS OF COLORADO <br />CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION <br /> <br />.1. r. I\'es. J. M. S~ceney. H. ~o Steinhoff. and W. W. Howell <br /> <br />This document 1s the fi.nal report of the San Juan <br />Ecolog}' Project (SJEP) \.tole" has been supported by the <br />United States Bureau of Reclamation under Contract <br />No. 1~-06-o-7052 from 1970 to 1975. An earlier study, <br />that was prepared as a prohlem analysis, has been re- <br />'ported previously (SJEP, Phase I Final Report: Teller <br />et al. 1970).' Th~ present report (Phase 11) does not <br />include any of th~ early, preparatory material. <br /> <br />SUMMARY OF KEY CONCLUSIONS <br /> <br />This Summary condenses the evaluation of ecologic <br />1~acts due-to varv1n~ snowpaCK in the San Juan Moun-- <br />tains.' It,is based 'bn a study of ,the influence of a <br />snowfall-'which. is 'quite variable -1.n- 'both space and' <br />. t1me~. O!rect'observation of the effects of snovpack <br />. .~".ugmentation were not possible during the 5-year lUe <br />of the'S4n'Juan ~eolo Pro ect, but the relationships <br />eeta _he etWeen ecos stem co onent. an snow <br />oond!tion.,~llov the e.t~~tion 0 poa. e e Bets of, <br />long-te~ successful cloud seeding. <br /> <br />';"." ,. <br />The Btacements whieh follow'treat the main. ecosystem <br />,components in ~rder. The impact '-of snovpaclr. augmen- <br />tation on each 'ecosystem component is arranged accord- <br />ing'to the nature of the environmental change which <br />produced'the effect_ The basic environmental, changes <br />are the ~ddition of more snow and more 8ilver~ Such <br />changes could initiate a chain- of effects that would <br />radiate throughout the ecosystem. The first links in <br />the ch41n.,~1ch'have a significant impact on eCOBY8t~ <br />components :are:' (1) lower 80i1 temperature 1n the <br />spring, (2)" more moisture in the spring, (3) deeper <br />snowpack. ando'(4) more silver. <br /> <br />This summary includes only statements verifiable from <br />the data. with causal connections and cancIuGtons <br />that would be accepted by scientific peers 1n environ- <br />',mental disciplines. Speculation about causal links 1n <br />the chain, or extension of implications beyond effects <br />. which were' studied 1n the chain. and where the extension <br />involves application of general ecologic understanding, <br />~re avoided in this summary. Such appropriate scien- <br />tific conjecture can be tound in Chapters II and III <br />and in segments of individual reports that are apec- <br />'ulative by implication through the use of terms such <br />86 Ilmay be" or"probably", or which are labelled 88 <br />"broad' significance" or "implications." <br /> <br />Many other findings, vh1ch are not directly related to <br />the effects of snowpack augmentation on the indicated <br />ecosyste~ components are a natural part of such studies. <br />For a s~ry of these findings reference is made to <br />the abstracts ~f individual reports or to the detail~ <br />of the individual reports themselves 1n Chapter IV. <br /> <br />Plants <br /> <br />"Only twO enviro;lJn~nt"aJ changes \!hich might be induced <br />by increased Rnot.Jfall hll\'c been found to relate signif- <br />icantly to plal1tl> in the San Junn Mountains; lo....:er <br />soil temperatures and rn0re soil moisture. <br /> <br />_ Lower Soil Temperatures <br /> <br />.inittatil'ln of shoot elollj.tAtion \o:as delay~d for pla-nts <br />orh 1n the tundra and f()rest~ ns 11 result 01 lo....:(!r <br />Boil temperatures assoC'j.ate:d .... t 1 a eeper sno......pac 0 for <br />. the species studied. These includeo Englemann spruce <br />l (f1fE engeLT:!!..t!.1l.;..:). quaking ilSpE:'l1 (POjl~~ t.rcmuloidcs), <br />Thurber f~sc:u~ (X~~~ _t hU'rbp;,..\.~i), :lnd nlil:ld"OllS <br /> <br />herbaceous species in both the tundra and forest roea- <br />do'-'s. e dele \laB most apparent in species with <br />~rowth points in t e ~e ate zone 0 oW~r <br />temperaturu at the ground level. This includes pri- <br />marily the herbaceous species. The gro....th regions of <br />trees, in the cambium and terminal buds, ....ere affected <br />more indirectly, possibly through soil te~perature <br />effects on root function. 7rom this a less clear re- <br />lationship between growth incept10n and snowpack was <br />anticipated although there \las a general correlation <br />of bud burst dstes for both spruce, and aspen with the <br />snow clear dates. Moisture stress in spruce was un- <br />usually hiRh durin2 the period of snowmelt and decrea8e~ <br />pramaticallv at about the. snow clear date~ This did <br />not affect the annual tot.l rad~l srowth of spruce. <br />vhlch initiated 2 to 4 weeks earlier than bud burst, <br />apparently independent of 8nowp.ek~j:Resultant annual <br />biomass Rrovth of spruce ~.. rem4rkably constant from <br />ear to year, unrelated to anovfall. Aspen was more <br />var a e n annua omasa pro uct on. Aspen growth <br />inception ~as delayed by . later snow clear d~te. but <br />we did not determine whether o~-not this vas directly <br />linked to variatione ,in b1~~~~.product10n., <br /> <br />The dela, in beRinnldk of Rrowth persisted throuRh <br />the other stages of the life cycle of most plants, <br />but with less magnitude. There seemed universally 8 <br />compensatlon ractor wh1cb permltted every species <br />to complete its, annual cycle of develo~ent each <br />.summer, regardless ot snowpack depth. ~cept tor <br />spruce, tfiere was no 81ml~ar c~pen5acory mechanism <br />for bioma8s production.',. In most herbaceous species <br />of the tundra, biomass production was inversely <br />related to depth of snowpack. <br /> <br />No effect vaa found on either in1tiation of development <br />or biomass production of oak (Quercus ~ambellii). pre- <br />sumably because even in a deep snow year the snow had <br />alvays disappeared from oak plots before the earliest <br />date of growth initiation. <br /> <br />- liore Moisture <br /> <br />Phytosociological 8tudies in botb forests and tundra <br />showed that plant communities were arranged along <br />snow clear date gradients. In the forests oak gives <br />way to aspen, then to subalpine fir (~lasiocarpa), <br />and finally to Englemann spruce as the snow clear date <br />extends later into the year. The change was less <br />obvious in the dr1er communities, i.e. 1n oak. The <br />tundra changed from xeric (drier) to more mesic or <br />even hydric comm9niries. This~could be expected to <br />result in an increase in frequency of the rarer species. <br /> <br />A dendrochronologlc survey of ponderosa pine (~ <br />ponderosa) immediately outside the target area showed <br />its growth on dry sites to be associated with December <br />precipitation. The relationship is a direct one and <br />pine yould presumably shov an increase in gro~th if <br />floud seeding were to add to mJd-winter snowfa)l. No <br />such relationship was found for Engelmann spruce, the <br />only other species on which dendrochronologic ~ork <br />has been conducted in this study. <br /> <br />Animals <br /> <br />Only the lower soil temperature and greater sno.... depth, <br />which mi~ht be expected to follow an increase in snow- <br />fall. have been found influential on animal activity. <br />
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