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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:28:42 PM
Creation date
10/1/2006 2:16:21 PM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Weather Modification
Applicant
North American Weather Consultants
Sponsor Name
Upper Colorado River Commission
Project Name
The Potential Use of Winter Cloud Seeding Programs to Augment the Flow of the Colorado River
Title
The Potential Use of Winter Cloud Seeding Programs to Augment the Flow of the Colorado River
Prepared For
Upper Colorado River Commission
Prepared By
Don Griffith, NAWC
Date
3/1/2006
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />Executin Summary <br /> <br />Recent drought conditions and the associated drop in Lake Powell storage has generated <br />renewed interest in means that might be used to better manage the water supplies for the seven <br />basin states that share water from the Colorado River system through the 1922 compact. Means <br />of augmenting the nows of the Colorado arc also being examined. One technique that has been <br />frequently mentioned is that of weather modification or "c]oud seeding" as it is more commonly <br />known. The Upper Colorado River Commission contracted for the preparation of this White <br />Paper. The goals of this paper were to consider the status of the weather modification field and <br />how cloud seeding could potentially be used to augment streamtlo\'.'s in the Colorado River <br />region. <br /> <br />The potential for use of cloud seeding to increase the amounts of naturally occurring <br />precipitation dates back to some early' discoveries and experiments. first conducted in the <br />laboratory and then in the atmosphere. in the late 1940's. Early enthusiasm lor such applications <br />led to the conduct of a number of research and operational programs during the 1950's. Some of <br />this early enthusiasm diminished due to difficulties in detecting the efTects of seeding on <br />precipitation. In a sense. the potential of cloud seeding was oversold during this period. <br />Additional research and operations were conducted with more realistic expectations beginning in <br />the 1960's and continuing to the present time. Some skepticism remains regarding the <br />cllcctivellcss of cloud seeding. although several professional societies nmv state that winter time <br />precipitation in mountainous areas can be increased on the order of 10%. Compelling evidence <br />exists for the positivc efTects of cloud seeding in augmenting watcr supplics in the west. although <br />proof in the strict scienlific sense is elusive. <br /> <br />Several operational winter cloud seeding programs have been conducted in the Sierra <br />Nevada tVlountains of Cali fomi a dating back to the early and mid-1950's in a couple of cases and <br />the early to mid 1960's in several other cases. Winter cloud seeding programs have also been <br />operated for a number of years in portions of Colorado. Utah. and Wyoming. For example. <br />programs in Utah date back to ] 974. Estimations of the effects on precipitation commonly <br />indicate seasonal increases of the order of 5% to 15%. <br /> <br />This paper identifies areas within the Colorado River Basin where a) new operational <br />"..inter c10lld seeding programs could be developed and b) existing programs enhanced through <br />additional funding to provide additional nmolT in the Colorado River system. These activities <br />would include new or expanded programs in the States of Arizona. Colorado. Utah and <br />Wyoming. Streamflow that contributes to Colorado River flows in these areas is primarily <br />gcnerated via melting snow from the higher elevation areas of these states. thus the <br />recommendation tor the focus on winter time programs. <br /> <br />A distinction is made between operational programs and research programs. Operational <br />programs arc conducted to achieve a specific objective or objectives: in this case. increases in <br />streamflow in [he Colorado River Basin. Cloud seeding research programs are conducted to <br />advance knowledge: perhaps to gain a better understanding of how cloud seeding works or to <br />
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