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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:27:42 PM
Creation date
10/1/2006 2:12:32 PM
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Template:
Weather Modification
Applicant
Western Weather Consultants
Project Name
Vail Pass
Date
11/1/1984
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Application
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<br />i-:CCU"'Grc.'\~ :':"fPACI_S OF .~~:.:?:-::I"\C!-.: AL:C-:;::~:-;-A7)O;, :r-: THE SA"X JlA... XOm;rAI!\S OF COLORl.DO <br /> <br />--~!~ <br />.....~...- <br /> <br />CPAPTL~! I~7RODUCTI0N <br /> <br />.1 I.:. 1\"€5, J..... S\';~t:nf:Y. H. ;.,'. Steinhoff. and W. \..'. Ho....ell <br /> <br />., <br />This docuQent is the finnl rep0rt of the San Juan <br />Ecology Project (SJEP) ~hich has been supported by the <br />United States Bur~au of Reclamation under Ccntract <br />No. 1~-D6-D-]052 irow. 1970 to 1975. An earlier study. <br />that was prepared as a proh~em analysis, has been re- <br />ported previously (SJEP. Phase 1 Final Report: Teller <br />et al. 1970). ThE:: prescnt report (Phase II) does not <br />include any of the early. preparatory mate~ial~ <br /> <br />SUMMARY OF KEY CO~CLUSIONS <br /> <br />This Summa . condenses the evaluation of ecologic <br />imPacts due to varving snowpack in the San uan Moun-- <br />tains. It is based on a study of the influence of a <br />snovfall which is quite variable in both space and <br />. time. Direct observation of the effetts of snovpack <br />augmentation were not possible during the 5-year lite <br />of the San Juan Ecology Project. but the relationships _ <br />established D~tween ecosystem components and snow <br />conditions allow the esti~tion of possible effects of <br />long-tena successtul cloud seeding. <br /> <br />The statements which follow treat the main ecosystem <br />. components in order. The impact. of snowpac:k augmen-: <br />tation on each ecosystem component is arranged accord- <br />ing to tbe nature of the environmental change which <br />produced the effect. . The basic environmental changes <br />are the addition of more snow and more silver. Such <br />changes could initiate a chain-of effects that would <br />radiate throughout the ecosystem. The first links in <br />tbe chain which have a significant impact On ecosystem <br />components are: (1) lower soil temperature in the <br />spring, (2) more moisture in the spring. (3) deeper <br />sDowpack, and (4) more silver. <br /> <br />This summary includes only statements verifiable from <br />the data. with causal connections and conclus1ons <br />that would be accepted bv scientific peers in environ- <br />,mental disciplines. Speculation about causal links in <br />the chain. or extension of implications beyond effects <br />. which were studied in the chain. and where the extension <br />involves application of general ecologic understanding. <br />are avoided 1n this summary~ Such appropriate scien- <br />tific conjecture can be tound_in Chapters II and III <br />and in segments of individual reports that are spec- <br />ulative by implication througb the use of terms such <br />as "may-be" or"probably". or which are label1'ed as <br />. "broad significancell or "implications." <br /> <br />Many other findings, which are not directly related to <br />the effects of snowpack augmentation on the indicated <br />ecosystem components are a natural part of such studies. <br />For a summary of these findings reference is made to <br />the abstracts of individual reports or to the details <br />of the individual reports themselves in Chapter IV. <br /> <br />!!!E.!!. <br /> <br />rOnly two envirO~lm~nral chan~e5 I.!hich &'light be induced <br />by increased snowfall hn~c been found to relate signif- <br />icantl. to lants in th(; San Ju.,n Mountains; lo....er <br />soil. temperatures God m0rc sol rno~sture. <br /> <br />_- Lower Soil Temperatures <br /> <br />~ :.. <br />10it18t10o of shoot elongation was delayed for plants. <br />oth in the: tundra and forests ;]~ n ~cslllt '..If lOIo.er <br />soil temperatures 3ssoclnte 10' t 1 a eeper snm..1lac', for <br />the species studied. These includeci Englemann spruce <br />(Picea en~elnann11). quaking nspen (Po~ulus trc&'Iuloides), <br />Thurbcr feSCue (~~ thurberi). and numerous <br /> <br />herbaceous species in both the tundra anri forest oea- <br />dows. e delay was mo~t apparent in S?eCie5~ith <br />~rowth points in the ~e ate zone 0 o~er. <br />temperatures at the ground level.. This includes pri- <br />marily the herbaceous species. The growth regions of <br />trees, in the cambium and terminal buds. ~ere affected <br />more indirectly, possibly through'soil temperature <br />effects on_root function. From this a less clear re- <br />lationship bet~een gro~th inception and snovPack was <br />anticipated although ~here was a general correlation <br />of bud burst dates for both spruce and aspen with the <br />snow clear dates.. Moisture stress in spruce was un- <br />usually hiRh durtnR the period of sno~elt and decreased <br />pramaticallv at about the snow clear date. This did <br />not affect the annual total radial growth of spruce. <br />which initiated 2 to 4 weeks earlier than bud burst. <br />apparently independent of s~owpack.. Resultant annual <br />biomass Rrowth of spruce was remarkably constant from <br />year to year. unrelated to snowfall. Aspen wag more <br />variable 1n annual biomass production. Aspen growth <br />inception was delayed by a later _snow clear d~te. but <br />we did not determine whether or not this was directly ~. <br />linked to variations in biomass production. . <br /> <br />The delay in be~innid~ of ~rowth persisted throURh <br />the other stages of the life cycle of most plantsJ <br />but with less magnitude. There seemed universally a <br />com ensation tactor which permitted every species <br />to complete. its annual cyc e 0 eve opment cac <br />summer. regar4!ess at snowpack deptb. t%cept tor <br />spruce, there ~as no S1mliar compensatory mechani~ <br />for biomass production. tn most herbaceous species <br />of the tundra. biomass production vas inversely <br />related to depth of snawpack. <br /> <br />No effect was found on either initiation of development <br />or biomass production of oak (Quercus ~ambellii). pre- <br />sumably because even in a deep snow year the Snow had <br />always disappeared from oak plots before the earliest <br />date of growth initiation. <br /> <br />- More Moisture <br /> <br />Phytosociological studies io both forests and tundra <br />showed that plant communities were arranged along <br />snow clear date gradients.. In the forests oak gives <br />way to aspen. then to subalpine fir (Abies lasiocarpa)J <br />and finally to Engle~nn spruce as the snow clear date <br />extends later into the year. The change was less <br />obvious in the drier communities. i.e. in oak. The <br />tundra changed from xeric (drier) to mo~e mesic or <br />even hydric communities. This could be expected to <br />result in an increase in frequency of the rarer species. <br /> <br />A dendrochronologic survey of ponderosa pine (Pinus <br />ponderosa) immediately outside the target area showed <br />its growth on dry sites to be associated with December <br />precipitation. The relationship is a direct one and <br />pine would presumably shov an increase in gro~th if <br />,cloud seeding were to add to mid-~inter snowfall. No <br />such relationship was found for Engelmann spruce. the <br />only other species on which dendrochronologic work <br />has been conducted 1n this study. <br /> <br />. Animals <br /> <br />..:. <br /> <br />Only the lOYer soil temperature and' greater snov depth. <br />which eight be expected to follov an increase in snow- <br />fall. have been found influential on ani~~l activity. <br />
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