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Last modified
7/28/2009 2:27:36 PM
Creation date
10/1/2006 2:11:53 PM
Metadata
Fields
Template:
Weather Modification
Contract/Permit #
#98-1
Applicant
Western Kansas Groundwater Management
Project Name
Western Kansas Weather Modification Program
Date
4/28/2001
Weather Modification - Doc Type
Report
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<br />~ <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />) <br />I <br />I <br />I <br />I <br /> <br />Supercells are among the most dangerous variety of clouds to deal with both from a cloud <br />seeding aspect as well as a crop and property damage aspect. Hail is capable of being ejected <br />from these clouds in any direction and occasionally can endanger seeding aircraft several miles <br />distant from it. Supercells also produce the most destructive tornadoes (on the Fujita Scale types <br />F3 - F5), however, not all supercells produce tornadoes; some estimates indicate about 20%-25% <br />of all supercells may produce a tornado. <br /> <br />During the WKWMP 27 years of seeding supercells to prevent hail we've also had <br />serendipity: We've found out seeding to reduce hail in these storms is likely to be producing the <br />effect of inadvertent tornado-mitigation. The expectation that cloud seeding can accomplish <br />tornado mitigation is not new and earlier has been theorized by others. The WKWMP is the only <br />cloud seeding group in the USA that has been uniquely able to test the theory over a protracted <br />period of time. We are the only cloud seeding program in the United States that seeds all severe <br />storms, We often prefer to seed storms that have a funnel cloud or a tornado in progress because <br />they are usually the most intense storms; devastating hail almost always accompanies them, They <br />usually travel great distances across our target area and are most responsible for causing a <br />disproportionately large percentage ofthe total seasonal crop-hail damage on a given day. <br /> <br />Conceptually, it's not completely clear why, or how, a massive water-to-ice conversion <br />process that releases vast amounts oflatent heat inside a supercell may be able to mitigate a <br />tornado. Even cloud physicists who are expert in tornado development don't totally understand <br />why tornadoes form, although they are homing in on this knowledge more all the time, albeit, <br />little by little. However, the relevance of this seeding effect is useful to the general community <br />within the target area we attempt to protect; we have come to expect that the proper seeding of <br />supercells will mitigate tornado severity in tornado-bearing storms. But, this bears repeating: If <br />inadvertent tornado mitigation really is occurring, adequate amounts of seeding agents must be <br />well-dispersed within the new growth clouds which feed into the primary updraft(s) of the <br />complex supercell storm system, Storms which are abandoned, or not well-seeded, often seem to <br />be prone to producing a tornado in short order, because the cloud is returning to its natural, or <br />near-natural, state. This can happen swiftly, too, within perhaps as few as 20-30 minutes <br />(estimated) after seeding ends, <br /> <br />The cloud system known as the squall line is an organized line of cumulonimbus clouds <br />many miles in length, Important updraft areas are found along its advancing cloud edges. <br />Updrafts important to the precipitation and hail processes are seldom found along the trailing <br />edges of these lines except at its tail-end, or at significant breaks within the line, Squall lines can <br />be extensive, crossing a few counties within a state, or even crossing several states; frequently <br />squall lines are associated with surface troughing ahead of frontal passages. Updrafts can easily <br />exceed 2,000 - 4,000 feet per minute and produce "scud" clouds visible nearly to the ground. <br />Ahead of the squall line, updraft areas are usually smooth. <br /> <br />Convective Scale Interaction is a term given to a very important process set into motion <br />when a collapsing storm produces precipitation, As the downdraft air, associated with the falling <br /> <br />10 <br />
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