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<br />Bob Glancv. National Weather Service. Short Term Weather Forecast <br />Mr. Glancy said for today and the next 48 hours we will have moderating temperatures with the <br />highs being in the high 40's and 50's and no big stonns. He said that Thanksgiving Day and <br />Friday should be wanning up. Mr. Glancy also said we may have a stonn for the weekend but it <br />is a "wait and see" stonn with probably most precipitation in the four-corners area and the <br />mountains with not much, but some precipitation here. <br /> <br />For the 8-14 day forecast, Mr. Glancy predicted a higher probability of cold and wet weather. <br /> <br />Klaus Wolter. NOAA Climate Diagnostic Center. Long Term Weather Outlook <br /> <br />Mr. Wolter said we might have a wetter winter later especially in the northern mountains. He <br />also said an El Nino is coming but it looks weaker than the one of 2003. Mr. Wolter said that it <br />looks good for Ian through Mar 2005 with above nonnal precipitation in the north central <br />mountains. <br /> <br />The following executive summary from Klaus Wolter has been added to the minutes: <br /> <br />Executi'\/c Suuu11a.ry C[\fo've:rnber 23, 20(}'+) <br /> <br />"1. The 2002-03 El Nino event ended more than a year ago. Over the last five months, the <br />tropical Pacific has wanned yet again, and a fledgling new El Nino event has indeed developed. <br />The current event will probably stay weaker than the one two years ago. <br /> <br />2. After a mixed spring (dry March, wet April, dry May), our summer ended up being quite wet <br />and cool in the EASTERN half of Colorado, while drought conditions continued in western CO. <br />Fall moisture has mitigated this situation somewhat over western Co, but not nearly as much as <br />over southern CA, western AZ, and much ofUT. <br /> <br />3. In my experimental forecasts for Ian-Mar '05, the odds for above-nonnal precipitation reach <br />significant levels in eastern new Mexico and the Texas panhandle, as well as over the north- <br />central mountains of Colorado, while weaker reverse odds apply to northern Utah and northeast <br />Colorado. <br /> <br />4. Bottomline: El Nino has returned to the Pacific, but is weaker than many historic events, and <br />appears to focus on the central rather than the eastern basin. This tilts the odds weakly towards a <br />dry early winter in Colorado's northern mountains On the other hand, late winter moisture may <br />balance this out over the same region. If El Nino were to grow into next year, most of Colorado <br />and adjacent states would improve their odds for above-nonnal moisture during the upcoming <br />spring season." <br /> <br />Impact Task Force Reports <br /> <br />Agriculture-- <br />Reagan Waskom. CSU <br />Mr. Waskom reported that the crop yields were a little better this year but below average because <br />of the cooler weather in the southeastern plains. He said the national agricultural statistics show <br />that Colorado has typically had 3.3 million acres of irrigated land, and that in 2002 the amount of <br />