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<br />out of the last day's precipitation, Ft. Collins got the best for a one-day time frame and that this <br />afternoon there should be improved conditions, Mr. Glancy forecasted warmer air coming into <br />Colorado for tomorrow and said that will melt the snow sooner. He also forecasted Saturday <br />(May 14) afternoon showers but said we would not get much, Mr. Glancy predicted the hottest day <br />of the year so far for next Monday, May 16, and said there will be a wanning trend without much <br />moisture, His forecast for 18 hours out through midweek is fairly dry and nonnal conditions with a <br />faster snowmelt. The predicted temperature for Tuesday is even higher (in the 80' s) in eastern <br />Colorado and the lower elevations, He also said Saturday, the 15th, we could have freezing night- <br />time temperatures at higher elevations which would be good for the snowmelt. Mr. Glancy said the <br />best snowmelt would be the 15th and 17th of May, <br /> <br />The 8-14 day forecast is for above normal temperatures in the northeast, and then it will be fairly <br />dry for us through May 25th Mr. Glancy said we would have four days of good snowmelt <br />temperatures then it would go back to cooler, mild temperatures and below normal precipitation, <br />He also said that for Saturday the 15th through Friday the 20th he was forecasting a flood concern <br />with the highest level of snowmelt, but that it would be melting very slowly, <br /> <br />Long-term Weather Outlook <br /> <br />Klaus Wolter, NOAA Climate Diagnostic Center, Long Term Weather Outlook <br /> <br />Mr. Wolter said we had normal precipitation from January through March with eastern Colorado <br />being mostly dry and western Colorado wetter. March through May 2005, he predicted Colorado <br />would be dryer than usual from mid-March through April. Mr. Wolter's forecast for May is dry <br />over Colorado with below nonnal precipitation for the latter part of the month, and also predicted <br />that for April through June, temperatures would be wanner than usual. He further said June would <br />be dry in Colorado and wanner to the north and to the west. Mr. Wolter's forecast for July through <br />September is the northwest will be dry while the eastern fringes of the state will have a wet summer. <br /> <br />The following executive summary from Klaus Wolter has been added to the minutes: <br /> <br />-.E.xec.uti'/e SUHlrnary (j\"1ay J2~, 2(05) <br /> <br />1. The weak 2004-05 El Nino event lingered into May with large-scale SST anomalies that <br />barely exceeded O,5C (IF), However, the advertized eastward propagating Kelvin wave appears to <br />have hit the coast of South America, and has produced dramatic surface warming in the eastern <br />tropical Pacific, recently peaking at +2C. While this wanning is fading now, another westerly wind <br />burst is getting ready to invade the Western Pacific, and may reinforce the wanning in the eastern <br />Pacific this summer. <br /> <br />2, The last two months have seen an improvement in northern Colorado snow pack values <br />compared to normal, but not enough to reach average historic peak levels, Nevertheless, relatively <br />cool spring weather in combination with a siege of late-April snows and rains in the last few days <br />have kept 'the wolves' at bay (no forest fires to speak off, yet!), However, the remainder of May <br />does not look promising, since the stonn track appears to remain stuck to our north, <br />