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<br />Mr. Gillespie stated there was not a lot of change from the SWSI figures from last month, and the <br />only significant change was that the southwest lost a little, He said that overall we really had no big <br />deficit other than the Yampa/White which was at -2,3 inches, <br /> <br />Mr. Gillespie explained that the streamflow forecast is below average up north as expected, He said <br />most basins were 70-90% of average, the North Platte and the South Platte were dry, and the Yampa <br />didn't improve much; the San Juan's and Rio Grande are at 150% of average and will do very well, <br />but risk flooding this year, Mr. Gillespie commented there would be no problem filling reservoirs <br />this year, and the water supply will be abundant this year in the southern basins, <br /> <br />Jack Bvers, Deputy State Engineer, DNR <br />Mr. Byers commented we would have good streamflows this year and that the area off the Grand <br />Mesa had a lot of snow, He said the Blue Mesa was projected to fill this year, and he also expects <br />Dillon Reservoir to fill. Further, he stated we will be having calls on the Arkansas and are <br />anticipating having calls on the South Platte, as low flows are expected on the South Platte, Mr. <br />Byers also mentioned they have been preparing for flooding along the Rio Grande and since there is <br />more water this year, New Mexico is entitled to more water and that will help in our water <br />management to prevent flooding, He also said we have had a good controlled melt out this year <br />with the temperatures fluctuating which could help against flooding, <br /> <br />Monthly Climate Report <br /> <br />Roger Pielke, Sr, Colorado State University, Colorado Climate Center <br />Mr. Pielke reported that statewide we were doing pretty well in terms of moisture, and temperatures <br />for April were mostly above average throughout the state, He said that precipitation wise across the <br />state, a lot of sites were dry with the exceptions of the northeast and the southeast so generally we <br />had a mixed bag of moisture, Mr. Pielke stated the water year is above average mostly with the <br />exception of the extreme eastern plains by Kansas, He also mentioned there were some locations <br />that were below, but many locations were above 100% for the water year making it very positive, <br /> <br />For the 3-month SPI, Mr. Pielke said the state was very close to the average; and, the 12-month SPI <br />was very similar, <br /> <br />Mr. Pielke mentioned the 48-month SPI shows the tale end of the drought that began in 2001. He <br />said a message for policy makers is that this was an extreme short-tenn drought--nothing <br />exceptional; but based on our historical past dry periods, we could be possibly at risk for more <br />serious drought. Mr. Pielke said we would be ok if we had dry weather for the next 12 months, but <br />if we had dry conditions for 48 months, we would fall back into a serious dry condition again, <br />Further, Mr. Pielke commented that the state is now currently considered out of the drought. <br /> <br />Short-term Forecasted Weather and Extended Outlook <br /> <br />Bob Glancy, National Weather Service, Short Term Weather Forecast <br />Mr. Glancy began his presentation by saying the CoCoRaHS website has good precipitation <br />infonnation, and he encouraged us to visit the website: www,cocorahs,org, He further reported that <br />