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<br />The next map below shows the calibrated shifts in the tercile probabilities for <br />OND 2004: <br /> <br />EXPERIMENTAL CDC OCT-DEC 2004 PRECIPITATION FORECAST <br />(issued July 23, 2004) <br /> <br /> .5.... <br /> . DRY <br /> . <br />.5.... <br /> . S.... <br />-5'" <br />.s... <br /> WET -; <br /> . <br /> <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />.... <br /> <br />Most recent forecast of shifts in tercile probabilities for October~December 2004. <br />Forecasted shifts of more than 5% may be of some use, while shifts over 10% <br />are considered significant. In this first forecast round for OND'04. no predicted <br />shift exceeds +/-10%. As in JAS'04, question marks denote shifts under 3% in <br />either direction. <br />