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<br />EXPERIMENTAL CDC PRECIPITATION FORECAST GUIDANCE <br />JUL-SEP 2006 (issued April S, 2006) <br /> <br />w <br /> <br />+5'110 <br /> <br /> <br />w <br /> <br />+S'llo <br /> <br /> <br />+ <br /> <br />-S'llo <br /> <br />D <br /> <br />D <br /> <br />+10'lIo+5'110 -5'110 -10'lIo <br />-5'110 +5'110 +10'lIo <br /> <br />My first stab at the summer <br />monsoon forecast should be taken <br />with a 'grain of salt' (see previous <br />slide), especially considering the <br />uncertainties surrounding this <br />year's ENSO situation, and the <br />direct contradiction to my NAO- <br />negative composites, IF we get a <br />transition into EI Nino by the <br />summer, and IF we can avoid a fire <br />season a la 2002, this optimistic <br />outloook might actually be justified. <br />More by Friday at my website <br />below, <br /> <br />Source: klaus.wolter@noaa.gov; <br /> <br />"ttp://www. cdc.lloaa.gov/people/ <br />klaus. wolter/SWcasts/ <br />