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<br />2. On the other hand, despite a wet start in parts of Colorado, one <br />should not expect the rest of April to remain wet. <br /> <br />3. In my experimental forecasts for April through June 2004, overall <br />tilts in the odds remain weak (none bigger than +/-8%), and <br />unsettled. After last month's drastic drop in forecast amounts, the <br />latest iteration keeps the mountains of north-central Colorado and <br />adjacent plains into WY on the dry side, while the plains south and <br />east of Denver continue their tilt towards wetness. A first look at <br />the monsoon season favors a wetter than normal monsoon both <br />from Arizona into eastern Utah, as well as over the Southern Plains <br />from NM eastward. Six out of ten forecast regions, including most <br />of Colorado, appear undecided at this point. <br /> <br />4. Bottomline: The roller-coaster ride of alternating wet and dry <br />spells for Colorado will continue into the foreseeable future. Until <br />the tropical Pacific "makes up its mind" whether to slide into EI <br />Nino or La Nina, less predictable shorter-term variability will <br />dominate the picture, leading to volatile climate forecasts and <br />increased uncertainty. The good news is that there are no strong <br />indications of renewed drought in the near future. <br /> <br />Impact Task Force Reports <br /> <br />Marv Halstead. Wildlife <br />Ms. Halstead mentioned they recently had a wild life impact meeting where they mainly <br />concentrated on native aquatic species. She said the main outcome was that they wouldn't know <br />the full impact for a couple of years. The main specie looked at was the Arkansas River Darter <br />in the southeast. They were in the same places they were before the drought, and even though <br />there were less numbers, it still looked good. <br /> <br />Robin Knox. Wildlife <br />Mr. Knox reported they had done some trout management the first couple weeks of April, and <br />that it gave them a bit of hope. He said the overall planning phase was to keep the trout species <br />off the endangered fish list. Mr. Knox explained that recreationally speaking, the lower <br />Arkansas basin was low and the northwest basins were a concern. He said there were no specific <br />impacts now, but it looks a lot like 2002. <br />