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last month, the "wet" forecasts have consolidated into +5 to +14% probability shifts, with higher confidence in several ofthese forecasts. For August in particular, this translates into a better chance of rain and cooler temperatures than have been experienced since late June. REPORTS FROM IMPACT TASK FORCE CHAIRS Ron Cattany. Dept. of Natural Resources. fire activity Mr. Cattany volunteered to report on fire activity. He noted that there were two active fires burning within the state and eight fires considered to be inactive. Stefanie Dalgar. Colorado Tourism Office. Tourism Report Ms. Dalgar reported that apparently the Colorado wildfires were having more of an impact on state tourism than the drought. She reported that the rafting connunity was experiencing a 40-50% drop in daily use and a 50% drop in overall revenue. She said that the Arkansas River was still open and there was plenty of rafting activity occurring. In relation to the State Parks, she reported that the total impact is still unknown but that reservations for State Parks were down 30% and cancellations were up 40%. Again she stated that the impact to the summer tourist season would not be know until summers end but noted that the Fourth of July weekend was favorable. Bob McLavey. Department of Agriculture. Agriculture Report Mr. McLavey reported that the winter wheat crop appeared to be down 50% of normal and it is expected this will be an approximate $100 million loss to the agriculture industry. He continued to say that the state's forage was currently rated at: 60% very poor condition, 32% poor condition, 7% fair condition, 1 % good condition, and zero in excellent condition. He also noted that irrigated farms are nearing the end of their allocation schedules and many crops could be lost this year due to the drought. Barry Cress. Department of Local Affairs. Municipal Water Report Mr. Cress gave an explanation about a survey being conducted by the Colorado Water Utility Council concerning municipal water supplies and drought. He also explained the he had recently held four workshops on drought and water conservation and had over eighty people in attendance. Some ofthe topics that he wanted to forward from the workshops were, 1) the need for "mentoring" between large and small utilities to improve water conservation and drought information and planning, 2) water systems near the burned areas of the state can be affected and water quality compromised, 3) due to the drought, some water systems are not able to reach predicted revenue levels and may be in need of assistance. Joe Lambert. Governor's Office of Energy Mgmt and Conservation. Energy Report Mr. Lambert reported that only a couple of electric transmission lines had been lost during the recent wildfires, but that power distribution had not been interupted as result. He noted that energy production was to date mostly unaffected by the current drought.