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Last modified
8/11/2009 11:41:28 AM
Creation date
9/30/2006 10:14:56 PM
Metadata
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Publications
Year
1997
Title
Historical Dry and Wet Periods in Colorado (Draft Copy)
CWCB Section
Water Conservation & Drought Planning
Author
McKee, Doesken, Kleist
Description
Analysis tool used to describe both drought and wet events for periods in Colorado.
Publications - Doc Type
Tech Report
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<br />dry for 33 years. The 48 month graph (Figure 7e) shows the clearest view ofIonger time-scale <br /> <br />precipitation. The bottom with SPI < -I shows the two long periods 1905-1931 and 1979-1996 <br /> <br />were wet with only small drought occurrence. Colorado is clearly now in an extended period with <br /> <br />less drousht impacts. The top of Figure 7e indicates the current wet period is similar to the one <br /> <br /> <br />beginning in 1905 but the 1983-1988 period had a larger fraction of stations above 0.4 for a <br /> <br /> <br />longer time period than the earlier wet period. The depiction of dry and wet periods in Table 4 <br /> <br /> <br />provides a broad overview of drought periods in Colorado that have affected large areas of the <br /> <br /> <br />state. Wet periods tend to last longer than dry periods and no extended dry periods have <br /> <br />occurred since the 1950s. <br /> <br />The beginning period of 1893-1905 was dry but the number of observing sites was smaller <br /> <br /> <br />and changing. A rather long wet period followed from 1905-1931 with brief moderately dry <br /> <br />periods in the early teens and again in the early to mid 1920s. The 1950s and 1960s had shorter <br /> <br />periods of dry and wet conditions with 1951-1957 dry, 1957-1959 wet, and 1963-1965 dry again. <br /> <br /> <br />A longer period for 1965-1975 was wetter but not to the extent and duration of earlier periods. <br /> <br /> <br />A brief dry period followed in 1975-1978 and then a change occurred to start the wet period from <br /> <br />1979 to 1996 with one lull in the late 1980s to early 1990s. <br /> <br />From the state as a whole the next view of dry or wet periods is seen on a regional level <br /> <br /> <br />within the state. The SPI for each region is shown in Figure 8 and the SPI in each graph is the <br /> <br /> <br />average of the SPls of all stations in the region. This was done so that wetter or drier locations <br /> <br /> <br />would not dominate the combined indicator for the region. All of the periods in which SPI is <br /> <br /> <br />greater than 1 or less than -1 are shaded to clearly indicate when drought or wet conditions were <br /> <br /> <br />present in the region. In these graphs the averaged SPls are not uniquely connected to probability <br /> <br />17 <br />
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