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Last modified
8/11/2009 11:41:28 AM
Creation date
9/30/2006 10:14:56 PM
Metadata
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Publications
Year
1997
Title
Historical Dry and Wet Periods in Colorado (Draft Copy)
CWCB Section
Water Conservation & Drought Planning
Author
McKee, Doesken, Kleist
Description
Analysis tool used to describe both drought and wet events for periods in Colorado.
Publications - Doc Type
Tech Report
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<br />5.0 Drought and Wet Periods Occurrence and Description <br />Drought is such a complex phenomena that different aspects must be viewed somewhat <br />differently. The definition of drought given above for a single location is quantitative and clear <br /> <br />for a monthly continuous series of observations. The analysis of snowpack based on April I <br /> <br />values will provide another view of drought using one data point each year, A similar thing <br /> <br />occurs when the interest is in just the summer or spring or any fixed interval oftime. This section <br /> <br />includes discussions of drought and wet periods from several different points of view. <br /> <br />5.1 Precipitation <br />Dry and wet conditions can be characterized for Colorado by examining the fraction of <br /> <br />stations in the state which are dry or wet at the same time. The spatial extent of dry or wet <br /> <br />conditions is shown in Figure 7 for the period of the early 1890s through 1996 for averaging time <br /> <br /> <br />scales of3, 6, 12,24 and 48 months. Fewer stations were reporting observations in the 1890s so <br /> <br />the results during this period are indicative but not as definitive as in the period after the very <br /> <br />early 1900s. Notice in Figure 7a for the 3 month time scale that the fraction changes rapidly in <br /> <br />time and peak values exceed 0.80 on 4 occasions for dry conditions with SPI < -1 (1890, 1893, <br /> <br />1939,1981) and on 7 occasions for wet conditions with SPI > 1 (1891, 1905, 1906,1914, 1941, <br /> <br />1952, 1995). As the averaging periods or time scales become larger, graphs show less rapid <br /> <br /> <br />changes, the dry or wet periods last longer, and the maximum fraction is reduced. The 24 month <br /> <br /> <br />graph in Figure 7d has been used to characterize dry and wet periods that affect approximately <br /> <br /> <br />40% of the state during the episodes. These are given in Table 4. The periods are not uniformly <br /> <br /> <br />dry or wet and often have a portion of the period in which the opposite condition increases a bit <br /> <br /> <br />and then decreases. A sum of the durations of each type show that wet existed for 64 years and <br /> <br />16 <br />
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