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<br />. <br /> <br />Each scenario has differing implications for growth patterns within Denver's service <br />area. Of the four, the "compact" growth scenario predicts the most rapid growth within <br />Denver's service area, while the "dispersed growth scenario" leads to the slowest growth <br />because most growth would be taking place outside Denver's service area. Denver Water <br />chose these scenarios to bracket the expected growth of its customers. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />To extend the DRCOG forecast from 2020 to 2045, projected national census growth <br />rates for the 1990-2020 period were compared to the DRCOG regional growth rates. The <br />ratio between the two was used to adjust projected national census growth rates through <br />2045 to estimate regional growth during that period. Figure IV-2 compares the <br />population forecasts for the service area under the "compact," "dispersed," and "final" <br />growth scenarios for Denver's Combined (Treated Water) Service Area. There currently <br />are another 100,000 people beyond this service area supported with raw water Denver is <br />supplying through fixed/special contracts (see below). That population will expand to <br />roughly 200,000 people by 2045, resulting in a total of 1.5 to 1.6 million people on <br />Denver's water by that time. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br /> 1,600,000 <br /> 1,400,000 <br />= 1,200,000 <br />.:: <br />.. <br />-= 1,000,000 <br />c. <br />= <br />Q. <br /> 800,000 <br /> 600,000 <br /> 400,000 <br /> 200,000 <br /> 0 <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />. <br /> <br />Figure IV-2 <br /> <br />Population - 2045 <br />Treated Water Service A rea <br /> <br />_ Suburban Service Area <br />- Denver <br /> <br /> <br /> <br />699,548 <br /> <br /> <br />630,204 <br /> <br />720,818 <br /> <br />625,142 <br /> <br />754,647 <br /> <br />555,093 <br /> <br />Dispersed <br /> <br />Compact <br /> <br />Scenario <br /> <br />DRCOG Scenarios <br /> <br />27 <br />