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Figure 15: Increase in Wadley Farms No. 3 Deliveries with 5 FHL Shares <br />70% <br />60% <br />CU <br />50% <br />iv 40% <br />�o <br />3 <br />C <br />CU 30% <br />�o <br />v <br />V <br />S 20% <br />9 <br />10% <br />0% <br />Percent Increase in Wadley Farms No. 3 Headgate Deliveries with 5 <br />FHL Shares v. 3 FHL Shares <br />A'� ,�R '�'� �O �� cb1° �� �1' �h oil Oti <br />tia tia tia tia tia tia ti� ti� ti� ti°' ti°' ti� tia 4 ti4 ti°' tia ,y° ,y° <br />As previously discussed. the HOA typically needs from about 108 to 134 acre -feet in any <br />given year to satisfy the Wadley Farms No. 3 water needs in a reasonable manner, which <br />includes water use restrictions when needed. Figure 16 compares this amount of water <br />demand to the number of years that the water supply with ownership of five FHL shares <br />would fall below this level. It is shown that, with five FHL shares, in more than 80% of <br />years, the HOA has sufficient water deliveries to adequately meet demands without <br />implementing water use restrictions, even if no carryover reservoir storage water is <br />available from the previous year. In other words. there would be shortages in annual <br />deliveries compared to annual demand in only two years out of ten, so it is much more <br />likely that carryover storage could compensate for shortfalls. This compares to fewer than <br />40% of years having sufficient water deliveries to meet unrestricted water demands with <br />three FHL shares. When six out of ten years have insufficient deliveries to meet annual <br />water demands. the ability to maintain carryover storage is greatly compromised and <br />severe water use restrictions are much more likely to occur. <br />With ownership of three FHL shares, the average yield is about equal to the average <br />annual demand. This means that any single below average or dry year will prevent the <br />HOA from retaining any carryover storage in those years and will deplete any carryover <br />storage that might be available in those years. With only three FHL shares, even if water <br />use restrictions are not required in the first below average or dry year, they are very likely <br />to occur in subsequent drier years. Purchase of two additional FHL shares provides an <br />Wadley Farms No. 3 Water Supply CWCB Loan Feasibility Study Page 29 <br />