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Executive Summary <br />The Program could potentially increase the number of hunting and bird watching days and <br />recreational expenditures in the study areas under two conditions. <br />1. The Program provides public access to some or all of the affected parcels. <br />2. In areas where public access is provided, the Program provides blinds and toilets for <br />hunters and bird watchers. <br />Increases in expenditures by recreators will be greatest if public access and certain amenities <br />are provided Expenditures will increase to a much lower extent if only public access is <br />provided If neither of these conditions is met, recreation expenditures are not expected to <br />change as a result of land use changes under the Program. <br />The impacts of the Program, if the above conditions are met, on total income and sales for each <br />scenario are summarized in Table ES -6. These impacts are expected because an increase in <br />recreation -days spent in the study area translates into increased spending in the study area for <br />food, lodging, gasoline, fees and other entertainment. The additional recreational opportunities <br />on Program lands will increase the present value of total income, by $1.3 million, $1.9 million <br />and $ 178,000 under Scenario 1, 2 and 3, respectively. Sales are expected to increase under <br />Scenarios 1, 2 and 3 by $2.8 million, $4.0 million and $381,000, respectively. Sales increases <br />are lower under Scenario 3 than under Scenarios 1 and 2 because recreation opportunities are <br />limited to hunting blinds at Cottonwood Ranch. Employment is also estimated to increase <br />slightly with increased recreation. Table ES -7 summarizes the change in employment from <br />increased recreation. <br />Table ES-6 <br />Economic Impact as the Program Increases Recreation Opportunities <br />(Relative to Baseline Condition) <br />Present Value - 2001 to 2020 at 2.8% Discount Rate <br />Scenario 1 Scenario 2 Scenario 3 <br />Present Value of the Change in Total $1.3 million $1.9 million $178,000 <br />Income Relative to the Baseline <br />Condition <br />Present Value of the Change in Total $2.8 million $4.0 million $381,000 <br />Sales Relative to the Baseline <br />Condition <br />Note. Total income and total sales represent direct, indirect, and induced effects. <br />Employment impacts from increased recreation under Scenario 1 are summarized Table ES -7. <br />Employment is expected to increase by 3 jobs in 2004 and 6 jobs by 2006 when all the facilities <br />are completed. Employment is also expected to increase under Scenario 2 as summarized in <br />Table ES -7. Under this scenario, employment will increase by 3 jobs in 2004 and 9 jobs by <br />Hwd.-40210R009.doc ES -11 Third Party Impact Study <br />Final Report <br />