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SYSTEMATIC SURVEYS <br />Recent systematic surveys conducted along Nebraska's rivers have 1) documented <br />substantially larger least tern breeding populations than were observed or <br />estimated during the initial census in 1975 (Downing .1980); and 2) established <br />the fact that Nebraska is a major stronghold for this species. In 1986, 438 <br />adult least terns were censused along the Platte River and 181 adults were <br />censused along the Missouri River from Gavins Point Dam to Ponca, Nebraska. <br />Although the Niobrara River was not surveyed in 1986, 174 birds were censused <br />along this river in 1985. Assuming stable abundance along the Niobrara from <br />1985 to 1986, these census results reflect a total of 793 adult least terns as <br />of the 1986 breeding season. This compares with a total of 200 adults observed <br />(and 400 adults estimated) by Downing based on his 1975 survey of these same <br />three river areas. <br />Other least tern breeding populations have also been discovered in recent years <br />in areas not surveyed by Downing. For example, an aerial inventory of the Loup <br />rivers in 1985 yielded 56 adult terns which, considering that aerial surveys <br />typically census only about half of the birds present, suggests a population of <br />twice that size. In addition, 25 adult least terns were censused in 1986 along <br />the Missouri River between Fort Randall Dam and Lewis and Clark Lake upstream <br />of the Gavins Point Dam to Ponca reach. Thus, systematic survey results <br />through 1986 indicate a total statewide population of approximately 900 birds. <br />Because these surveys did not include all potential or known nesting habitat <br />within the state, this statewide estimate should be considered conservative. <br />In view of the fact that Downing's 1975 inventory served as a primary basis for <br />the Service's proposed rule to list the interior least tern as endangered <br />(reference 49FR 22444 - 22447), the results of recent systematic surveys in <br />Nebraska are particularly noteworthy. Although Downing (1980) believed the 80 <br />least terns observed along the Platte River in 1975 were more birds than the <br />habitat seemed capable of supporting, census results recorded in 1986 (438 <br />birds) represent more than a five -fold increase. Similarly, given that the <br />population observed along the Missouri River below Gavins Point Dam was more <br />than five times larger in 1986 than in 1975 (181 versus 35 birds), it is also <br />apparent that Downing substantially underestimated the habitat potential of <br />this river segment. It deserves particular emphasis that the 619 least terns <br />censused only along the Platte River and the Missouri River below Gavins Point <br />Dam in 1986 represents more birds than the total number (616) actually seen by <br />Downing during his entire survey of the greater part of the species' breeding <br />range (which included 11 rivers of the Mississippi /Missouri River drainage, <br />plus national wildlife refuges in three U.S. Fish and Wildlife Service <br />regions). <br />As in 1975 (Downing 1980), flood conditions following the nest initiation <br />period were also observed on the Platte and Missouri rivers in 1986 (NGPC 1986, <br />Schwalbach et al. 1986) when least tern breeding populations censused on both <br />rivers were substantially larger. Fewer birds have been inventoried during <br />other survey years when lower flow conditions have prevailed and habitat was <br />apparently more abundant. It may be that abnormally wet conditions in 1986 <br />broadly reduced the amount of habitat throughout the species' breeding range, <br />resulting in greater utilization of those nesting areas that were available. <br />In any case, the more than five -fold increase in the size of least tern <br />breeding populations censused along the Platte and Missouri rivers in 1986 <br />ii <br />